Twins Vs Nationals: MLB Betting Lines & Predictions

The Minnesota Twins (11-8) and Washington Nationals (5-13) square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Target Field, at 8:10 PM ET. The Twins are coming off a series defeat to the Red Sox, and the Nationals a series loss to the Orioles.

The Nationals (+182 underdog on the moneyline) visit the Twins (-218). The over/under for this game is set at 8.

The betting facts in this article reference odds valid as of April 21, 2023 at 7:15 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Twins vs Nationals Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

• The Twins have won nine of the 10 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• Minnesota has not been bigger favorites this season than the -218 moneyline set for this game.
• The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 68.6%.
• So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in seven of 19 games with a total.
• The Twins are 11-8-0 ATS in their 19 games with a spread this season.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Nationals Betting Insights

• The Nationals have come away with five wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This year, Washington has won two of six games when listed as at least +182 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 35.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Washington and its opponents have gone over the total this season in nine of its 18 opportunities.
• The Nationals have posted a record of 10-8-0 against the spread this season.

Nationals Last 10 Games Trend

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Tyler Mahle

• Mahle’s team is 1-2-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
• The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 4 1/3 innings against the New York Yankees, giving up two earned runs while allowing four hits.
• Mahle’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
• Mahle’s team is 1-2 when he starts this season.
• Out of Mahle’s three starts with a total this season, one has hit the over.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Nationals Probable Pitcher – Trevor Williams

• Williams (1-1 with a 3.52 ERA and nine strikeouts in 15 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Nationals, his fourth of the season.
• His last appearance was on Friday against the Cleveland Guardians, when the right-hander went five innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing four hits.
• Williams is looking for his fourth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.0 frames per start.
• The Nationals are 1-2 in Williams’ three starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
• Williams’ team is 1-2 over his three starts.
• Williams’ starts went over the run total one time in three games with a set total this season.

Nationals Relief Pitchers

Twins Hitting Trends

• The Twins have hit at least two home runs in seven games this season, and won each outing.
• Minnesota has won each of its three games this season when collecting at least five extra-base hits.
• The club is 9-1 in the games this season it has put up at least eight hits.
• Minnesota has a 5-1 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
• The Twins rank 28th in the majors with a .298 on-base percentage.

Nationals Hitting Trends

• The Nationals average 0.4 home runs per game to rank 30th in baseball with eight total home runs .
• Washington has collected five or more extra-base hits in three games this season and won each of them.
• In 10 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 4-6.
• Washington has won four of its seven games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
• They have a 1-3 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Twins vs. Nationals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-218)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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