UFC 295: Jiri Prochazka vs. Alex Pereira odds, picks and predictions

In a 5-round light heavyweight championship bout in the co-main event, Jiri Prochazka and Alex Pereira meet Saturday at UFC 295 at Madison Square Garden. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s around the UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ starting at 6 p.m. ET, while the prelims can be viewed on ESPNews/ESPN+ starting at 8 p.m. ET. The main card begins on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Records: Pereira (8-2-0) | Prochazka (29-3-1)

Pereira, the former champ, bounced back from a KO/TKO to Israel Adesanya with a split-decision win over Jan Blachowicz last time out at UFC 291. Since arriving at the UFC level, he is 5-1 with 2 decision wins and a 3-1 mark via KO/TKO.

Prochazka secured the title with a 5th-round submission win over veteran Glover Teixeira at UFC 275. He is a perfect 3-for-3 with 3 wins inside the distance since arriving at the UFC level. He hasn’t lost since Dec. 31, 2015 since a KO/TKO loss to Muhammed Lawal at Rizin FF: Rizin Fighting Federation 2.

The Czechian fighter holds a slight 1-inch reach advantage, while also holding a slight 5.77-to-5.11 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Pereira is much more accurate on those strikes at 68.89%.

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UFC 295: Jiri Prochazka vs. Alex Pereira odds

FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:56 a.m. ET.

UFC 295: Jiri Prochazka vs. Alex Pereira picks and predictions

PEREIRA (-122) is the slight favorite, and he’ll get his strap back with a hard-fought victory in the final event of the evening. He looked good in the split-decision fight against Blachowicz, and his only loss since his pro debut was against Adesanya.

Pereira has been a knockout machine, and this one will be no exception. PEREIRA BY KO/TKO (+125) is a strong play in method of victory at plus-money, too.

OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-152) is worth the play, as both of these veteran fighters will take some time to feel each other out.

However, you can’t play Yes: Fight to go the distance? (+370) at plus-money. As mentioned above, the play is Pereira via KO/TKO, it just might be into Rounds 2 or 3 before the fireworks really begin.