UFC 299: Sean O'Malley vs Marlon Vera Betting Trends and Picks

UFC 299 is set for this weekend on the UFC fight schedule and the main event is a bantamweight title fight, in a rematch between Sean O’Malley and Marlon ‘Chito’ Vera in Miami.

When there is an upcoming UFC fight like this, it’s tough to not want to bet on these scores and odds. Whether you love or hate the polarizing figure that is Suga Sean O’Malley, you want to bet on or against him. Vera also has a big following of passionate fans who want to ride with him this weekend.

Sean O’Malley vs Marlon Vera Odds

• BetUS
• BetOnline
• Jazz Sports
• Bovada

Let’s take a closer look at the O’Malley vs Vera betting trends going into this weekend and also break down this fight stylistically, technically, and by what the UFC odds say to determine what your best bet to make is this weekend.

O’Malley vs Vera Recent Results

O’Malley is coming off winning the UFC bantamweight title with a second-round TKO win over Aljamain Sterling at UFC 292 last August.

Vera is coming off a decision win over Pedro Munhoz at UFC 292 as well.

Sean O’Malley vs Marlon ‘Chito’ Vera Betting Lines

BetUS betting line: O’Malley (-270) vs. Vera (+215)

A pretty middle-of-the-road line for UFC odds this weekend, the champion is a pretty sizeable favorite over the challenger who is responsible for his only loss so far. Vera got O’Malley out of there in the first round back in 2020, in their first meeting at UFC 252.

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BetOnline Betting line: O’Malley (-260) vs. Vera (+220)

This is one of the best values you can get O’Malley out of all the major sportsbooks. If you bet $100 on O’Malley at -260, you can win $38.46. This is still not much value but the best you will get for the champion, for you big bettors out there.

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Jazz Sports Betting line: O’Malley (-286) vs. Vera (+226)

Now this is one of the best values you can get Chito Vera at this weekend. A $100 bet will get you $226 of winnings if it hits–if you are a first-time sports bettor and don’t understand the odds.

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Bovada Betting line: O’Malley (-275) vs. Vera (+220)

The most accurate line out of them all, along with tons of prop bets that Bovada always offers for big fights like this. Chito opened at a +175 underdog at Bovada, according to O’Malley vs Vera betting trends.

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Sean O’Malley vs Marlon ‘Chito’ Vera Best Bet

After seeing the O’Malley vs Vera betting trends show that the public is betting a lot on one side, causing both lines to move further apart as we get closer to this weekend’s event on the UFC schedule, it makes you start overthinking.

Both of these guys will have a lot of biased fans betting on them this weekend. Both have passionate fan bases who believe their guy will win spectacularly. These are the kinds of fights that make the UFC so great.

When making UFC bets, it’s essential to delve deeper into the matchup, beyond just the betting trends or statistics. Breaking down the film on both guys to figure out how they stylistically clash is what’s most important.

In their first fight, despite a lot of the public’s opinion, O’Malley was clearly in control. He was chopping Vera’s legs down low and starting to find the mark with his hands. Vera landed his first leg kick of the night as O’Malley was pulling out of range, placing his toe directly on the peroneal nerve behind Suga’s knee. This caused “drop foot” for O’Malley, leading to him rolling his ankle several times and falling to his back–which led to Chito ending the fight swiftly with massive elbows.

Sean O’Malley vs. Marlon ‘Chito’ Vera Vetting Pick

After watching the tape, O’Malley has improved the most since that first meeting in 2024–evolving into an even more dangerous striker and has lots of other skills from the gym that haven’t been shown on tape yet.

The distance control, pacing control, speed, and power of O’Malley are going to be too much for just about anybody at bantamweight right now. The best UFC bet of the night is taking O’Malley to win. There’s not much value in his money line for the regular bettor, so if you need to make money, the best risky bet to make is O’Malley inside the distance at +225.

• O’Malley +225.

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