UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs Steve Erceg Prediction
One of the upcoming UFC fights this weekend to not miss out on is this flyweight bout between veteran Matt Schnell and rising contender Steve Erceg. Will Erceg be able to make his way into the top 10 of a wide-open flyweight division?
Schnell vs. Erceg Picks
- Pick: Erceg -405.
Read more to find out the Schnell vs Erceg prediction, alongside the latest scores and odds, ahead of betting on any of these fights this weekend.
Matt Schnell vs Steve Erceg Information
Matt Schnell vs Steve Erceg
Location of the game: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
Date and Time: March 02, 2024. 4 PM ET main card start
How to Watch: ESPN+
Last Fight Record
Schnell is making his return to the octagon after over a year removed from his KO loss to Mattheus Nicolau in December 2022.
Erceg is coming off a unanimous decision win over Alessandro Costa at UFC 295 in November.
Matt Schnell vs Steve Erceg Betting Analysis
Matt Schnell
Schnell is an American mixed martial artist with a 16-7 professional MMA record, including 2 TKO/KO wins and 9 submissions. He is the former LFA flyweight champion and has won three post-fight bonuses in the UFC as he is currently ranked #9 in the flyweight division.
Schnell is a 5’8” flyweight with a 70” reach fighting out of the orthodox stance. At the age of 34, he averages 4.24 significant strikes landed and 4.46 significant strikes absorbed per minute in the octagon. He also has a 46% takedown defense and a 1.1 submission average per 15 minutes.
Steve Erceg
Erceg is an Australian mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 11-1, including 1 KO win and 6 submissions under his belt at 28 years old. Before being the #12 ranked UFC flyweight contender in the world, he was the Eternal MMA flyweight champion and won a performance bonus in his UFC debut.
Erceg stands at 5’8” and fights orthodox with a 68” reach in the flyweight division. In his two UFC bouts, Erceg averages 4.27 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 3.57. He adds 2.00 takedowns per 15 minutes and a 77% takedown defense.
Updates
The UFC and ESPN have reported no injuries.
Matt Schnell vs Steve Erceg Betting Preview
The Schnell vs Erceg prediction can’t be made until we discuss the way this fight will most likely play out, along with previewing the odds given. Making UFC picks is the toughest thing to do in sports betting and previewing each fight like this is essential if you want to be even a little successful while betting.
Starting with the UFC fight odds for this flyweight matchup, Erceg is coming in as the sizeable -405 betting favorite over the UFC veteran, who’s coming in at +305 odds. This bout is favored to end inside the distance at -215, which is an interesting line in the flyweight division.
The technical breakdown of this fight is fascinating due to the high skill levels of both fighters. The better of the two is Erceg, but you can’t count Schnell out of any fight even though his chin has been suspect at flyweight.
Schnell might have been rocked multiple times before and KO’d as well, but he also had one of the best comeback wins in UFC history in 2022 versus Su Mudaerji. The time away from the octagon can either help him recover physically, or make him have issues with timing and taking damage in the fight.
Erceg has a better understanding of striking and managing distance. He is very good at stepping into range and then swiftly moving out of range to avoid the counters.
Matt Schnell vs Steve Erceg Betting Prediction
This weekend’s UFC Fight Night event in Las Vegas boasts a card packed with exciting matchups, and this is one. You should expect a great fight from two tough dudes who need a big win.
The Schnell vs Erceg prediction leans towards Erceg emerging victorious. All the outside factors balance out and you need to bet on the skills. Erceg surpasses the other mixed martial artists in skill. He has the speed advantage as well and that’s very important at flyweight.
- Pick: Erceg -405.
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