UFC Mexico: Daniel Zellhuber vs Francisco Prado Prediction

The fight setting the table for the awesome co-main and main event this weekend at UFC Mexico is this lightweight about between Mexico’s own Daniel Zellhuber and Argentina’s Francisco Prado. 

Zellhuber vs. Prado Picks

• Pick: Fight going the distance (+135).

Pumped for MMA action and ready to place your UFC bets? Hold on a sec! Get the inside scoop with the official Zellhuber vs Prado prediction, and stay ahead of the game with real-time scores and odds analysis for smarter betting.

Daniel Zellhuber vs Francisco Prado Information

Daniel Zellhuber vs Francisco Prado

Location of the fight: Mexico City Arena, Mexico City, Mexico

Date and Time: February 24, 2024.10 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Zellhuber is coming off a second-round submission win via Anaconda choke over Christos Giagos in September at the Mexican Independence Day event.

Prado is coming off an impressive first-round TKO win over Ottman Azaitar last July.

Daniel Zellhuber vs Francisco Prado Betting Analysis

Daniel Zellhuber

Zellhuber is a Mexican professional mixed martial artist with a 14-1 record, including 7 wins by TKO/KO and 3 submissions at the age of 24. The young prospect has won two in a row after dropping his UFC debut in 2022.

Zellhuber is a 6’1” switch stance fighter with a 77” reach. In the octagon, he averages 5.26 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 4.79 on average. He also has an impressive 94% takedown defense.

Francisco Prado

Prado is an Argentinian mixed martial artist with a 12-1 professional record and a 100% finish rate. He has 6 wins by TKO/KO and 6 wins by submission. His only loss came in the UFC against the great Jamie Mullarkey last year at UFC 284.

Prado averages 3.46 significant strikes landed per minute and 3.83 absorbed per minute as a 5’10” orthodox striker with a 69” reach. He has zero takedowns in the UFC and has a 25% takedown defense. 

Updates

No injuries have been reported to the UFC or ESPN.

Daniel Zellhuber vs Francisco Prado Betting Preview

To make the right Zellhuber vs Prado prediction, you need to understand the styles of both fighters and what the sportsbooks are saying about this matchup. This is one of the overlooked bouts on this weekend’s UFC fight schedule.

According to the UFC odds, Zellhuber is coming in as the -270 betting favorite over the +130 Prado. The u2.5 round total is slightly favored at -140 as well. You can get this bout to end inside the distance at -165 and the favorite (Zellhuber) to win inside the distance at +120 according to BetUS.

Looking at this fight from a technical perspective, both fighters have a lot of hand speed and finishing ability. Zellhuber does his best work from a distance, using his front kicks to keep opponents at the end of his strikers, along with very good front chokes that threaten opponents and prevent them from confidently shooting for a takedown.

Prado is physically the opposite of Zellhuber, but he is much sharper on the inside. With his shorter limbs and power in his hands, Prado is very dangerous once he steps into the pocket and lets his hands go. He will try to pressure Zellhuber against the fence and make him have to work hard to get out of range.

An event in Mexico on the UFC schedule has been on the mind of Zellhuber for years now and this is his chance to break out as a Mexican star in the sport. Prado has the chance to take the hype from Zellhuber and grow his fanbase in a new region of the world. 

Daniel Zellhuber vs Francisco Prado Best Bets and Prediction

After carefully breaking down this lightweight bout, our official Zellhuber vs Prado prediction is that Zellhuber will win a decision over Prado in front of the Mexican crowd. 

Zellhuber must maintain focus and sharpness for 15 minutes. If he lets Prado get off on the inside, he can’t stay there for long and decides he wants to trade heavy shots with him in the pocket. Staying with the front kick and mixing in takedowns will be key for Zellhuber to stay away from the power of Prado on the inside.

The best bet to make is this fight going the distance at +135. The oddsmakers seem like they are set on this fight ending inside the three-round limit, but the toughness and game plans from both of these fighters will turn this matchup into a 15-minute war; which is why this is one of the most exciting upcoming UFC fights this weekend.

• Pick: Fight going the distance (+135).

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