UFC Mexico: Yazmin Jauregui vs Sam Hughes Prediction

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20 February 2024

UFC Mexico: Yazmin Jauregui vs Sam Hughes Prediction

An underrated upcoming UFC fight this weekend at UFC Mexico is this women’s strawweight bout between Yazmin Jauregui and Sam Hughes on the main card in Mexico City. Jauregui is one of the brightest young prospects in women’s MMA, but will she be able to bounce back from her first loss?

Jauregui vs. Hughes Picks

Pick 1: Under 2.5 Round Total (+170)
Pick 2: Jauregui to win by KO (+150)

Dive deeper into the official Jauregui vs Hughes prediction before you make any bets on MMA this weekend, and stay tuned for the latest scores and odds to refine your wagering strategy.

Yazmin Jauregui vs Sam Hughes Information

Yazmin Jauregui vs Sam Hughes

Location of the game: Mexico City Arena, Mexico City, Federal District, Mexico

Date and Time: February 24, 2024.10 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Jauregui is coming off a 20-second TKO loss to Denise Gomes last July at UFC 290.

Hughes is coming off a decision win over Jaqueline Amorim last April at UFC 287.

Yazmin Jauregui vs Sam Hughes Betting Analysis

Yazmin Jauregui

Jauregui is a Mexican mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 10-1, including 7 TKO/KO victories under her belt at only 24 years of age. Before signing with the UFC, she won the UWC strawweight title and won the historic Combate Global “Last Latina Standing” tournament in 2021.

Jauregui is a 5’3” orthodox striker with a 64” reach. In the octagon, she averages 6.26 significant strikes landed per minute while absorbing 4.87 significant strikes per minute. She also adds a 100% takedown defense so far in her first three UFC bouts.

Sam Hughes

Hughes is an American mixed martial artist with a professional record of 8-5, including 2 wins by TKO/KO and 3 submissions. After unfortunately losing her first three UFC bouts, she has gone 2-1 since 2022 with 1 TKO. Before the UFC, she fought in the inaugural LFA women’s strawweight championship.

Hughes is a 5’5” orthodox with a 64” reach at 31 years old. In the UFC, she averages 3.79 significant strikes landed and 4.23 significant strikes absorbed per minute. She also has an average of 1.12 takedowns per 15 minutes at a 41% clip, while stuffing 57% of takedowns coming her way.

Updates

There have been no injury reports from the UFC or ESPN.

Yazmin Jauregui vs Sam Hughes Betting Preview

The Jauregui vs Hughes prediction can’t be made until we not only preview the betting lines but also dig deeper and study the film on both ladies. Making UFC picks involves more than what a matchup looks like on paper; you need to understand the style and recent form of these athletes.

Starting with the current UFC fight odds for this strawweight bout, Jauregui is going in front of her home country crowd as the big -525 betting favorite over the +400 Hughes. The o2.5 rounds line is at -210, meaning that the oddsmakers expect this one to most likely go the distance.

Stylistically, this is an easy early pick for Fight of the Night on Saturday even though fans might overlook it. Jauregui is lightning-quick and fights with a lot of forward pressure. She isn’t afraid to let her hands go in the pocket, but she has gotten caught multiple times in the UFC because of that–one resulting in a very fast TKO loss.

Hughes is a tough, durable fighter with very solid boxing skills and can mix it up with her wrestling. She has shown her toughness and ability to come back from tough starts in the octagon, especially with her back against the wall and fighting for a new contract.

Yazmin Jauregui vs Sam Hughes Best Bets and Prediction

This UFC Fight Night event in Mexico is historic and so special for the Mexican MMA community. It will be a special night in the sport and for the country. With that kind of energy in the building, the Jauregui vs Hughes prediction is quite simple to make.

We are taking Jauregui to get her hand raised on Saturday night in front of her fellow proud Mexicans in attendance. Her speed will be such an advantage and the style of Hughes coming forward and boxing will allow Jauregui to land a lot of punches.

For the big risk, take the u2.5 round total at +170 and Jauregui to win inside the distance at +150.