UFC Fight Night: Miesha Tate vs. Julia Avila Betting Prediction

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28 November 2023

UFC Fight Night: Miesha Tate vs. Julia Avila Betting Prediction

UFC Fight Night Austin is coming this weekend with a stacked card full of awesome matchups and massive fights. Before the main card even kicks off, the featured prelim bout will be between Miesha Tate and Julia Avila, two ranked bantamweight contenders. A live show you are able to watch for free on the UFC fight schedule will always be a must to tune in for.

Tate vs. Avila Picks

UFC 295 Pick: Avila to win via Decision.

Miesha Tate vs Julia Avila Information

Miesha Tate vs Julia Avila

Location of the game: Moody Center, Austin, Texas, United States

Date & Time: December 02, 2023. 10 PM ET main card start

How to Watch: ESPN+

Last Fight Record

Tate is coming off a tough loss to Lauren Murphy via unanimous decision in July of 2022.

Avila is making the UFC octagon walk for the first time since beating Julija Stoliarenko back in June of 2021 via submission.

Miesha Tate vs Julia Avila Betting Analysis

Miesha Tate

Tate is an American mixed martial artist with a professional record of 19-9 with 4 TKO/KO wins and 7 submissions under her belt. At the age of 37, Tate retired from the sport back in 2016 after making it to the top and becoming UFC bantamweight champion before losing the belt to the great Amanda Nunes at UFC 200. Now she is 1-2 in the UFC since returning in 2021.

Tate has 12 fights in the UFC thus far and has averaged more significant strikes absorbed per minute (3.10) than what she has landed per minute (2.61). She also lands about 1.88 takedowns per 15 minutes in the octagon and has a modest 55% takedown defense at 5’6” and a 65” reach.

Julia Avila

Avila is an American mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 9-2 with 4 TKO/KO wins and 2 submissions. She is making her return to the octagon for the first time since 2021 after taking time off from competition due to starting her family.

Avila is a 35-year-old orthodox fighter with a height of 5’7” and a reach of 68”. In her four UFC bouts, she has averaged 3.18 significant strikes landed and 2.86 absorbed per minute. She also has a solid 61% takedown defense.

Updates

No injuries have been reported to the UFC or ESPN.

Miesha Tate vs Julia Avila Betting Preview

The Tate vs. Avila prediction is a very interesting one to make because we aren’t sure what to expect from either of these women. They are very skilled, but the age and time away from the octagon are major concerns for both.

UFC bets can’t be made until we preview the betting lines. For this one, Avila is the -157 betting favorite even though she hasn’t competed in more than 2 years. Tate is sitting at +137 underdog odds to get back into the winning column.

From watching the tape on both women, it’s interesting because we are breaking down things they have done years ago. Tate looks like she has lost a step in speed and just overall “heart” in the cage, and we don’t even know how Avila will look after years away.

Tate is just a tough fighter who has always been great from riding her heart and durability inside the cage. She is physically strong, has solid boxing, and is very dangerous in the grappling department. We have seen her eat head kicks and then finish the fight from her back–she can’t ever be counted out in a fight.

Avila is one of the rare examples of fight aliases actually making sense. “Raging Panda” honestly sounds like how you would describe her finishes in her MMA career. She keeps pressure on her opponents and then when she finds the moment of weakness, she will unleash a flurry of punches to finish the fight.

Miesha Tate vs Julia Avila Betting Prediction

UFC predictions will always be the toughest to make in sports betting because of how unpredictable the sport of MMA is. You should look at this fight as a 50/50 coin flip because there are so many factors that go into a matchup like this.

With that being said, the official Tate vs. Avila prediction is that Avila will get her hand raised in a decision win. This might be the last time we see Tate in the octagon and the live crowd in Austin might be where she lays down the gloves.