Yankees vs. Rangers best bets, MLB picks, lines & odds: Sunday, 4/30

Silive

29 April 2023

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The New York Yankees and Texas Rangers are set to play the final game of their four-game series Sunday, with first pitch scheduled for 2:35 PM ET. Both teams are expected to start a left-handed pitcher, with the Yankees rolling out Nestor Cortes (3-1, 3.49 ERA) and the Rangers starting Martin Perez (3-1, 2.60 ERA).

Below, we’ll provide our Yankees vs. Rangers best bets and explain how to qualify for FanDuel’s bet $5, get $150 welcome bonus by clicking on this link.

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With two left-handed pitchers on the mound, each team’s platoon splits versus southpaws will give us some insight into what we can expect from their offenses. While neither team has lit up the stat sheet against lefties, there is a clear advantage for the Rangers. On the season, Texas holds a collective .719 OPS against LHP, good enough for 14th in the MLB. Conversely, the Yankees have struggled against lefties, posting just a .653 OPS in 197 at-bats.

Based on the numbers, the Rangers should hold an offensive advantage Sunday. On the mound, things appear much more evenly matched at first glance. Both pitchers hold an identical 3-1 W/L ratio and boast solid ERAs. Looking at the advanced metrics, both pitchers are still strikingly similar: both pitchers rank in the bottom 15% in fastball velocity, relying heavily on cutters to induce weak contact. They have been similarly successful in that regard, with Perez posting a hard-hit rate in the top 67th percentile and Cortes falling in the top 69th percentile.

With such similar pitchers on the mound, it seems likely that this matchup comes down to the offense. And with the Yankees struggling mightily against lefties, our Yankees vs. Rangers best bet is for the Rangers to win outright. We will back the Rangers on the money line at (-102) odds at FanDuel Sportsbook.

Besides the Rangers’ money line, there are a few player props that we think will provide significant value to bettors who are backing our Yankees vs. Rangers predictions. The first of these involves Rangers third baseman Josh Jung’s total bases prop. Jung – a consensus top-100 prospect coming into this season – has had an encouraging start to 2023 at the hot corner, hitting .269 with 5 HR and 16 RBI.

As good as he’s been overall, he’s been even better against lefties: through 20 at-bats against southpaws in 2023, he’s slashed .400/.400/.900/1.300 with 3 HR, 1 2B and 5 RBI. His .900 slugging percentage against lefties – though obviously inflated by sample size bias – is part of his game. Going back through his minor league tenure and even to his college days at Texas Tech, Jung has always mashed lefties.

Another encouraging factor behind this Yankees vs. Rangers best bet is Jung’s ability to hit soft lefties – finesse pitchers, as they’re often called – throughout the season. Through 42 plate appearances against the finesse pitchers, Jung has slashed .333/.381/.590 with 3 HR and a 2B. With Jung’s ability to hit lefties and finesse pitchers, he could be in line for a big day against Cortes.

As a result, our Yankees vs. Rangers best bet player prop is Jung’s total bases prop – we’d take the over regardless of if it’s posted at 0.5 or 1.5, and you should too. If you want to tail our Yankees vs. Rangers best bets, click this link to create a FanDuel Sportsbook account and qualify for their new user bonus.

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Be a first-time FanDuel Sportsbook user
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Bet at least $5 on any sports line – including our Yankees vs. Rangers best bets

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Here are the latest betting odds for the Yankees vs. Rangers game Sunday, per FanDuel Sportsbook:

Money line: New York Yankees (-116), Texas Rangers (-102)
Run line: New York Yankees -1.5 (+146), Texas Rangers +1.5 (-178)
Total: Over 8 (-106), Under 8 (-114)

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