4/3/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets

justhorseracing.com.au

03 January 2023

Murray Bridge is where SA metro racing heads to this Saturday for Magic Millions Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Race 1. (12:47) Carlton Draught Mdn Plate 1000m

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1 Limited Risk (Bet Now:$3.30) on top for me. Son of Astern for David Jolly that is on debut. He had two jumpouts, and looked pretty good each time. He trialled on the Parks track at Morphetville on Monday and I thought moved with purpose behind them, running third in a trial that contained seasoned campaigners, most of them city class. Runs up to that here, he’ll only run well.

Danger

13 Sixteen Reasons (Bet Now:$2.70) should prove hard to beat back to maiden grade. Game second on debut in a Gawler maiden before going to a benchmark race three weeks ago and was solid enough in defeat despite seemingly having every chance behind Ice Symphony. Back to 1000m I like for this filly and despite this being a Saturday metro maiden, the depth is on the thin side.

Long Shot

5 Barbra’s Wish (Bet Now:$23.00) hasn’t quite set the world on fire in ten career outings but will be strong late in a fast run 1000m. He ran in a 1200m maiden at Strathalbyn last time where he got a fair way back in the run and was good late in the piece behind Mission Supreme. If they overdo it in front, look for him to be one of the strongest at the end.

Race 2. (13:22) Northpoint Murraylands (Bm86) 1400m

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5 Sacred Palace (Bet Now:$4.40) should just about be at peak fitness for Lindsey Smith. Game second to Dance To Dubai two back at The Valley before racing at Flemington a fortnight back where he got a bit lost down the straight but was pretty good without threatening behind the flying D’jumbuck. Has that recent run under the belt and back to a bending track, he appeals.

Danger

7 Lafargue (Bet Now:$5.50) rises in grade/depth but gets the kind map. Danny O’Brien trains this guy, who is four weeks between runs since winning on the Parks track at Morphettville where he was put into the dream spot under Riordan and no doubt in my mind, the ride won the race, just getting the better of Versetto. Gets run of the race from the draw and is hard to beat.

Long Shot

4 Extra Time (Bet Now:$16.00) is capable with his best. He was several weeks between runs when racing a few weeks back over 1200m at Morphettville where he got back to near last in the run and while he did make up late headway, he was never really a threat behind Kentucky Casanova. Up to 1400m should be fine and with a drag into the race, I think he’ll be quite dangerous with his best.

Race 3. (13:57) Marshall & Brougham (Bm78) 2500m

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To me, this looks like Team Freedman are trying to find a kill for 4 Glentaneous (Bet Now:$3.10) and I think it will be that. He ran three weeks ago over 2400m at Sandown and I thought he was very good from the back when third to So Unusual, beaten just over a length. The form out of that race has already been strong, it’ll continue to be strong, and he should just about be at peak fitness. Could be a case of good luck beating him.

Danger

10 Another Free Glass (Bet Now:$14.00) has found that winning feeling and now that he has, he can go on with it. Narrow second two back at Gawler, where he half turned it up IMO. He then went to the Parks track where Vorster rode him cold, sliced his way through the field on the turn and he gapped his rivals late for a dominant win. That seems to be the key. Cuddle him and expose him late. Repeats that here, he’s clearly hard to beat.

Long Shot

9 Batting Above (Bet Now:$SP.00) will jump on the bunny and give cheek. He ran in the Another Free Glass race from two weeks back on the Parks track where he was near the speed throughout and tried hard but just lacked the quality to go with them late, finishing fifth to Another Free Glass, beaten just under seven lengths. Truly run 2500m, I think will suit, and has home track advantage.

Race 4. (14:32) Magic Millions Sa 2Yo Classic 1200m

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2 Surprise Coming (Bet Now:$9.00) for me. Kylie Schulz trained gelding that was big odds when debuting on the Parks track and while he was never a winning threat, I really liked the way he found the line late in the piece to finish fourth to Accapella Moon, beaten just over a length. He’ll love the rise to 1200m, getting to the bigger track, he can settle closer…gee I think he’ll run a big race.

Danger

1 Tacito (Bet Now:$1.90) has the right form to give this a shake. Team Hayes trained juvenile that ran down the straight at Flemington a fortnight back and was good late from off the speed when third to Maharba. He’s racing like he will eat up 1200m and the depth here looks far weaker you’d have to assume. Tricky gate, but does command respect.

Long Shot

3 Dodd (Bet Now:$14.00) commands respect. He trialled up really well prior to debuting a fortnight back on the Parks track where he was doing work on speed for the trip and was entitled to knock right up but he kept on and was really good in defeat behind Accapella Moon. Trial win here prior to the debut was strong, 1200m should be fine and is one of the main contenders.

Race 5. (15:12) M. Millions Sa 3&4Yo Classic 1200m

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3 Treporti (Bet Now:$4.80) has the class/quality to take this out fresh. He resumes for Danny O’Brien, who hasn’t raced since Champions Day at Flemington down the straight when just a bit one paced when J Mac asked, battling away okay in defeat behind Snapper. He can sprint well fresh and I thought his recent Flemington jumpout was a really good piece of work. He’ll do me in a competitive race.

Danger

6 Kusu (Bet Now:$8.00) is yet to tick the 1200m box but off the first up run, it should be fine for him. He resumed three weeks ago over 1100m at Morphettville where he got a fair way out of his ground and while he was never a threat, I really liked the way he found the line late in the piece when third to Ice Symphony. Off that effort, 1200m should be fine, and with natural improvement, he’ll take beating.

Long Shot

9 Out Of Aflica (Bet Now:$9.00) has been excellent in two runs back from a spell for the Clarken/O’Shea camp. He did more than enough fresh behind Dunmaghlas before going to 1100m at Morphettville where she got back in the run again and was good late without threatening when second to Ice Symphony. 1200m should be okay and she’ll be within range 400m out with a half positive steer.

Race 6. (15:52) Total Workforce Solutions-Bm62 1400m

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12 Dual Fuel (Bet Now:$9.50) is a filly I have time for. Peter Hardacre trains this daughter of Turn Me Loose, who has been kept on ice since resuming with an electric win from the back over this track/distance in a maiden on Australia Day, rounding them up from near last for a big win. Tick over trial on Monday was a good piece of work, and while she’ll get back, no doubt she will be strong at the end.

Danger

4 Thirsty Guest (Bet Now:$4.60) commands some level of respect. Promising gelding that resumed in a Gawler maiden where he was given a peach ride from Pannell, doing no work from the gate before getting his way into the clear and launched late to finish best. The form out of the race has been rank but stable is in form and this guy has good upside.

Long Shot

Fitter and up to 1400m are two big ticks for 3 Monseagle (Bet Now:$14.00). He was off a break when racing over 1300m two weeks ago on the Parks track where he just look very raw and fresh in the run, not being able to finish the race off, beating one runner home behind Press Down, a progressive youngster. Has that run under the belt and up in trip, on the bigger track, he can run a much improved race.

Race 7. (16:32) Adelaide Event Catering (Bm70) 1000m

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8 Siyata (Bet Now:$11.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness for the Clarken/O’Shea camp. She resumed with a bang at Murray Bridge before racing at Morphettville where she was very flat when Pannell asked for the effort and just whacked to the line late behind Starlite Valley. I think forgive a good horse for one average run because the win fresh was dynamic.

Danger

2 Wonderwomen (Bet Now:$9.00) lacks the quality of a couple of these on paper but is the hard fit/in form mare that is right down in the weights. She ran over 1200m at Morphettville three weeks back and kept finding the line in a good effort when second to a tough on speed Victorian, Kentucky Casanova. Back to a truly run 1000m looks ideal, should land on the bunny and try her guts out.

Long Shot

15 Huntley Lady (Bet Now:$23.00) is running out of chances for me but she is a mare who I know has the engine under the hood to be a Saturday class metro horse. Should have won two back at Murray Bridge but bombed the start and spotted them too much head start. She then went to Morphettville where she got back and wide, tracked up to be a threat but couldn’t quite finish it off behind Endlessly. Back to Murray Bridge, it’s last chance territory.

Race 8. (17:12) Beyond Ink (Bm68) 1800m

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9 Kutayha (Bet Now:$9.50) is third up from a break and should just about be at peak fitness. I thought he did enough fresh behind Caliburn at Strathalbyn. The Parks track run from a fortnight back was pretty good. He got back to near last in the run and worked home really well late in the piece without threatening, beaten just under three lengths by Trumpsta. Like him on the bigger track and has good upside.

Danger

1 Trumpsta (Bet Now:$12.00) did the right thing by us two weeks ago and commands respect. He ran over 1550m a fortnight back on the Parks track where I thought the ride from Callow was an absolute peach, sitting off the good speed, building the revs on the turn when those in front wanted a breather and getting that momentum up won the race. Was only second up there so you’d think there is room for improvement.

Long Shot

11 Kyshaka (Bet Now:$9.00) is several weeks between runs since winning over 1950m on the Parks track at Morphettville. She was on speed throughout and was there to be beaten but found under pressure to fend them off and win. There is a bit more depth to this line up IMO but she’s hard fit/in form, good racing style and is tough so she has a bit in her corner to command respect.

Race 9. (17:50) Spry Concrete Pumps (Bm62) 1600m

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1 Caliburn (Bet Now:$8.50) has done a super job this time in for Bill Williams. Defied a notable betting drift to bolt up fresh at Strathalbyn before going to the Parks track two weeks ago where he did a power of work to land on speed, lead, and tried to sustain the run but couldn’t quite finish it off when third to Trumpsta. Third up, hard fit, in form, hopefully the last run hasn’t busted him.

Danger

2 Eaglelou (Bet Now:$6.00) is knocking on the door to win. He ran a few weeks back and I thought was given every chance by Potter. Presented to win at the top of the straight but couldn’t quite get there when second to Dominus, who had the more economical run and finished best. Has done little wrong in a nine start career and should be around the mark once again.

Long Shot

7 Kalamon (Bet Now:$17.00) should appreciate a rise in trip for Team Jolly. Just needed the run fresh behind Versetto before going to 1550m on the Park track last time out where he was back near last in the run and was very good late in the piece, beaten just over a couple of lengths by Trumpsta. He will love getting to 1800m and being third up, he should just about be at peak fitness.