Best NBA Parlays Today: Picks, Predictions for Tuesday's Games
Will Anthony Edwards be able to deliver another masterclass performance on Tuesday, or will Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets send him packing to Cancun? Jon MetlerNBA odds.
Anthony Edwards stated that it's a seven-game series and that he would return to Denver for Game 5. Unlike Dillon Brooks who just talked the talk, Edwards actually walked the walk and led the Timberwolves to a win in Game 4!
Can Edwards lead the Timberwolves in scoring once again, or is his price too inflated, prompting us to take a different approach with his prop?
Here are our NBA SGP picks for Tuesday (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook).
Tuesday's NBA SGP picks
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Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds
NBA SGP predictions: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
Anthony Edwards Under 27.5 points vs. Nuggets (+104)
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I know what you're thinking: Edwards has dropped 41, 36, and 34 points in his last three games. There's no way I'm playing the Under. While this is true, and he may have another 40-point game in store for us on Tuesday night, we're getting an excellent price on the Under.
Edwards is projected to score 27.1 points against the Denver Nuggets, which allows us to price the Under 27.5 at -120. We could also play the Under 28.5 points at -115 via FanDuel, but by going after this alternate line, we increase our expected value from 9% to 11%.
Our Shane Jackson is also eyeing the Under on an Edwards prop in his top Timberwolves vs. Nuggets prediction we also have the Under on Edwards' points prop included in our NBA best bets for Tuesday.
Aaron Gordon Over 2.5 assists vs. Timberwolves (+102)
Everybody prefers to bet on an Over, but in this matchup between the Timberwolves and Nuggets, there aren't too many props showing value on the Over. However, Gordon is one outlier.
Gordon is projected to have 3.1 assists on Tuesday, which allows us to price this prop at -145, and we can buy it via FanDuel at +102. I fully expect to see this prop trading at minus money by tipoff. Therefore, I recommend that you go shopping for a straight bet on this prop and grab the highest plus-money price you can find before it moves.
Aaron Gordon Over 14.5 points vs. Timberwolves (-110)
This is the second time we're attacking this prop, as we played Gordon to score over 14.5 points at -105 in Game 2, but he fell short with only 12 points. We cannot let a previous loss scare us away from another solid price point, and that's precisely what we have on Gordon for Game 5.
Gordon is projected to score 16.1 points on Tuesday. Therefore, the Over 14.5 points should be trading at -135 instead of -110. Gordon has been hovering around this total throughout the series, but he hasn't exceeded the 14.5 points in any of the four games. This allows us to run it back with this prop and take advantage of the pricing.
NBA player prop picks made 04/25/2023 at 1:30 p.m. ET.
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