Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox odds, picks and predictions
The Texas Rangers (51-36) close out a 3-game series against the Boston Red Sox (44-43) Thursday. First pitch from Fenway Park is at 7:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Rangers vs. Red Sox odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.
Season series: tied 1-1
The Rangers lost 4-2 Wednesday after taking the series opener 6-2 on Tuesday. Texas has lost 5 of its last 7 games and 8 of its last 12 as its lead over the Houston Astros in the AL West has dwindled to 2 games.
The Red Sox have won 4 out of their last 5 games after a stretch that saw them drop 7 of 8, including 5 straight from June 24-29. Boston is in last place in the AL East and trails the division-leading Tampa Bay Rays by 12 games despite having a winning record.
Rangers at Red Sox projected starters
RHP Nathan Eovaldi vs. RHP Kutter Crawford
Eovaldi (10-3, 2.64 ERA) makes his 18th start. He has a 0.99 WHIP, 2.2 BB/9 and 8.5 K/9 through 112 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 7 IP, 0 R, 2 H, 4 BB, 5 K in a 5-2 home win Saturday vs. Astros
- Career vs. Boston: 3-0 with a 4.45 ERA across 6 starts and 1 relief appearance
Crawford (3-4, 3.92 ERA) makes his 9th start and 17th appearance. He has a 1.10 WHIP, 1.9 BB/9 and 8.6 K/9 through 57 1/3 IP.
- Last start: Win, 5 2/3 IP, 2 ER, 3 H, 2 BB, 5 K in a 7-6 road win vs. Toronto Blue Jays Saturday
- Is 2-2 with a 4.39 ERA across 6 starts since rejoining the starting rotation on June 3
Rangers at Red Sox odds
BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:28 a.m. ET.
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Rangers at Red Sox picks and predictions
Prediction
Rangers 6, Red Sox 3
The Rangers have been scuffling a bit but are still 24-18 on the road overall compared to Boston’s 22-22 mark at home.
Eovaldi allowed 2 total runs in his last 2 starts and is 6-1 with a 2.44 ERA in 10 road starts this season.
However, despite that the Rangers are a good bet to win, their ATS performance this season makes that the better wager.
PASS.
The Rangers’ 52-35 ATS mark is 2nd in all of baseball, while the Red Sox are 45-42 ATS.
The Rangers’ last 12 wins have been by 2 or more runs.
If you like them to win, you should like them to cover, so take advantage of the positive odds.
BET RANGERS -1.5 (+110).
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Three of Eovaldi’s last 4 starts did not have 10 total runs.
Six of the Red Sox’ last 7 games had fewer than 10 total runs.
The last 4 meetings between the 2 teams failed to reach 10 runs.
BET UNDER 10 (-110).
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