Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers odds, picks and predictions

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The Boston Red Sox (75-77) and Texas Rangers (83-68) meet Wednesday for the finale of a 3-game series. First pitch from Globe Life Field is set for 2:05 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Red Sox vs. Rangers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Red Sox lead 3-2

Texas won 6-4 Tuesday, ending a 4-game skid for the Rangers. The Rangers are currently tied for 2nd-place in the AL West with the Seattle Mariners, both a half-game behind the 1st-place Houston Astros. The division rivals are also tied for the wild AL Wild Card with Texas holding the tiebreaker. Texas and Seattle square off in 7 of its last 10 games.

Tuesday’s loss was detrimental to Boston’s playoff hopes which continue to dwindle with every defeat. The Red Sox are currently in last place in the AL East, have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are 8 1/2 games out of the final AL Wild Card.

Red Sox at Rangers projected starters

RHP Brayan Bello vs. RHP Jon Gray

Bello (12-9, 3.71 ERA) makes his 27th start. He has a 1.26 WHIP, 2.4 BB/9 and 7.7 K/9 through 148 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 3 ER, 4 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 3-0 road loss Friday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
  • Career vs. Texas: 2-0, 1.38 ERA (13 IP, 2 ER), 11 H, 1 BB, 8 K across 2 starts

Gray (8-8, 4.05 ERA) makes his 28th start. He has a 1.30 WHIP, 3.2 BB/9 and 8.1 K/9 through 149 IP.

  • Last outing: Loss, 3 2/3 IP, 3 ER, 7 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 12-3 road loss Friday vs. Cleveland Guardians
  • Career vs. Boston: 1-1, 3.38 ERA (13 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 14 H, 6 BB, 8 K through 2 starts

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Red Sox at Rangers odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 6:44 a.m. ET.

Red Sox at Rangers picks and predictions

Prediction

Rangers 4, Red Sox 3

LEAN RANGERS (-145).

The Rangers are the hotter team and have more to fight for in this matchup. Boston is all but eliminated from playoff contention while Texas has a real shot to clinch their division. Texas has also been dominant (46-31) at home on the year while the Red Sox are 37-39 on the road.

PASS.

I like the Red Sox to cover here as they are 7-3 in their last 10 vs. Texas, but at +1.5 (-165) the line is not worth the juice. Bet on the moneyline and/or total instead.

BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Under is 6-4 in the last 10 Boston-Texas meetings and is 7-3 in Boston’s last 10 overall. The Under is also 2-0 in Bello’s 2 career starts vs. Texas and hit in his last start. The Under also hit in Gray’s last start vs. Boston.