2023 MLB playoffs: Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds, line, Wild Card Series Game 2 picks, model predictions
The Arizona Diamondbacks can clinch a spot in the National League Division Series with a win on Wednesday. Arizona overcame a 3-0 deficit in Game 1 against the Milwaukee Brewers, scoring six unanswered runs. That gives the Diamondbacks the lead in a best-of-three series, with Milwaukee needing to win to avoid elimination. Zac Gallen (17-9, 3.47 ERA) takes the ball for Arizona, and he will be opposed by Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta (12-10, 3.86).
For this game, SportsLine consensus lists Milwaukee as -132 money line favorites (risk $132 to win $100) in the latest Diamondbacks vs. Brewers odds, and first pitch is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 7.5. Before making any Brewers vs. Diamondbacks picks, be sure to .
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered the 2023 MLB playoffs 91-73 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 18-6 (+766). Anybody following has seen big returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Brewers vs. Diamondbacks and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB betting lines and trends for Diamondbacks vs. Brewers:
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewers money line: Brewers -132, DBacks +112
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewers over/under: 7.5 runs
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewers run line: Brewers -1.5 (+163)
- Arizona: The Diamondbacks were 41-40 in regular season road games
- Milwaukee: The Brewers were 49-32 in regular season home games
- Diamondbacks vs. Brewers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back the Diamondbacks
Arizona's run prevention projection is quite strong for Game 2 against Milwaukee. Gallen was one of the best pitchers in baseball during the regular season, earning an All-Star berth and posting a 3.47 ERA. Gallen was in the top three of the National League in strikeouts (220) and innings pitched (210), producing a top-five strikeout-to-walk rate of 4.68-to-1. Gallen also landed in the top eight of the NL in WHIP (1.119), hit rate allowed (8.06 per 9 innings), and home run rate allowed (0.943 per 9 innings), and he held the Brewers to only one run in 14 regular season innings in 2023.
Milwaukee's offense is also weak by playoff standards, including a three-run performance in Game 1. The Brewers finished with the second-worst slugging percentage (.385) in the entire National League this season, with bottom-five marks in hits (1291), doubles (257), home runs (165), and batting average (.240) over 162 games. See which team to back here.
Why you should back the Brewers
Milwaukee's lineup brings a patient approach which helped to lead to great results down the stretch of the regular season. The Brewers finished with a 27-13 record over the final 40 games, the best record in MLB over that span, and Milwaukee generated a 9.7% walk rate over the course of the 2023 season. While Game 2 brings a tough matchup against Gallen, Arizona's starting hurler was a different pitcher on the road this season, posting a 4.42 ERA. Gallen also was not his best self down the stretch, producing a 4.93 ERA in his final seven starts of the regular season, and Milwaukee's bullpen is a potential X-factor.
The Brewers led the National League in bullpen ERA (3.40) this season while giving up only 3.5 walks and generating 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. Milwaukee's relief corps generated a 44.9% ground ball rate, and Arizona's offense fell short of league average in key categories, including slugging percentage, on-base percentage, home runs and walk rate. See which team to back here.
How to make Brewers vs. Diamondbacks picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 8.6 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
