Bubba Jenkins vs. Jesus Pinedo Betting Analysis and Prediction

The PFL semifinals are on the MMA schedule today, and the main event will showcase two featherweights that are on fire this season. Bubba Jenkins, who hasn’t lost in the regular season in his PFL career, is taking on the dark horse underdog Jesus Pinedo. 

Bubba Jenkins vs Jesus Pinedo

Location: Boeing Center at Tech Port, San Antonio, Texas, United States

Date and Time: August 04, 2023. 9 PM ET

How to Watch: ESPN+

Jenkins is coming off a flawless performance with a first-round submission over Sung Bin Jo in June.

over the favorite, Brendan Loughnane. 

Jenkins knows this is his year to be crowned PFL champion. He is a former NCAA national champion in wrestling and has a professional MMA record of 21-6 with seven KOs and four submissions.

He was the runner-up in 2021 and then suffered a heartbreaking loss to Chris Wade in the 2022 semifinals. After getting his revenge on Wade to start this season, he cruised his way into the playoffs as the top seed in June with a first-round submission.

“Bad Man” Jenkins has a life-long career in combat: wrestling at the highest level as an amateur and then becoming the Brave CF featherweight champion–now accumulating a PFL record of 7-2. His slick southpaw striking skills pair well with his elite wrestling ability. 

Pinedo really ruined all the plans for the PFL this season with his stunning KO over Loughnane earlier this summer. He suffered a loss in his PFL debut to Gabriel Braga but clinched his spot in this tournament with a beautiful knee up the middle that caught the top-ranked featherweight. 

Coming from Peru, Pinedo is a 27-year-old fighter with some length in the featherweight division, standing at 6’0” and having a 74.5” reach. He has a professional MMA record of 21-6-1 with 12 KOs and four submissions. 

No injuries have been reported to the PFL. 

The most important thing to do after looking at the Jenkins vs Pinedo betting analysis is to break down all the best MMA odds available for this bout. 

Jenkins is coming in as the big -370 betting favorite over the +295 Pinedo. The over 2.5 round total is favored at -188 as well. This fight is also favored to go the distance at 155. Since the oddsmakers have Jenkins as the clear favorite, let’s look at the styles of both fighters and see how this fight could potentially play out for either guy. 

. A fearless mindset could help Fuller land the big shots he needs to win. This is a bad matchup for him with the wrestling ability of Jenkins.

Jenkins is going to be the much better wrestler. If he didn’t want to risk much, he honestly could put on his wrestling shoes and shoot single legs for all 15 minutes in this one–but he knows he needs to watch out for knees up the middle.

With the Jenkins vs Pinedo betting analysis and betting lines pointing in the same direction, it’s clear what pick you have to make. You can’t really bet against Jenkins in this one. Pinedo stunned the PFL world, but Jenkins is on a mission for gold and is seemingly at his best.

Jenkins’ heart and chin will help him withstand Pinedo’s power if he’s focused. Quite frankly, Jenkins can probably rag-doll Pinedo for all three rounds.

Go with Jenkins to win inside the distance at +250 to get some valuable odds involved in this pick. Ground and pound, or even a submission after Pinedo gives up his back, is very possible in this one.

Jenkins wants to get out of there as fast as possible to be in the best condition going into the finals later this year.

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