Falcons vs. Jaguars NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions

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29 September 2023

Falcons vs. Jaguars NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions

It’s an early-morning matchup and we're up and at ‘em with these Falcons-Jaguars NFL player props for Week 4 based on the best NFL odds from our best sports betting apps.

London is calling as the Atlanta Falcons take on the Jacksonville Jaguars for their overseas matchup as part of our NFL predictions for Week 4. The Jaguars are 4-5 overall during their appearances in London. Meanwhile, the Falcons hold a 1-1 record in England.

Atlanta enters this week 2-1 and in a three-way tie for first place in the NFC South. The Jaguars sit at 1-2 while in a three-way tie for last place in the AFC South.

Here are our best Falcons-Jaguars NFL player props for Week 4 (NFL odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Falcons vs. Jaguars NFL player props: Week 4

Falcons total points band 21-30 (+175 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Atlanta comes into this overseas matchup averaging 18.3 points per game. However, two of their first three games have fallen inside of this points range. A six-point performance during Week 3 against the Lions is dragging their total down. The Falcons scored 21 points in their first London appearance against the Lions in 2014 and 27 points against the Jets during their second.

Now they face a Jaguars defense that's allowing an average of 25 points per game to start the season. The only team to score within the boundaries of this prop against the Jaguars in 2023 was the Indianapolis Colts during the season opener. Nonetheless, Jacksonville has allowed its opponents to score within this margin in three of the team's last four games across the pond.

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Atlanta has scored between 21 and 30 points in each of its last three meetings against the Jaguars. The Falcons' point total is set at 19.5 and is priced at -125 for the Over. Taking this band approach gives you much better value with a total that's only slightly higher on the low end.

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Travis Etienne Over Bijan Robinson rushing yards (+105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Etienne is averaging just over 68 yards per game across his first three contests. He's been on the field for 156 of his team's 201 total snaps. The tailback has carried the ball 49 times while accounting for 78% of Atlanta’s rushing attempts. Now he faces a Falcons defense allowing 117.7 rushing yards per game.

Despite his talent, Robinson is in a timeshare with Tyler Allgeier in Atlanta's backfield. While the rookie has been getting more snaps (146 to 85) than his teammate, Robinson has logged only one more carry than Allgier (39-38).

While Robinson is averaging 71 yards per contest heading into this matchup, he's only outgained Etienne once on a per-contest basis.

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Both teams to complete first pass Attempt (-110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Trevor Lawrence has completed 73 of his 113 pass attempts during 2023 for a 64.6% completion percentage. He's connected with his intended receiver on the signal-caller's first pass attempt of the game in two of his first three contests.

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The Falcons have opened all three of their matchups this season with a passing play. Their quarterback Desmond Ridder has completed all of those attempts.

Overall he's completed 62.5% of his throws in 2023. He's up against a Jaguars defense that's allowed two of the three quarterbacks the unit has faced in 2023 to complete their first pass of the game.

Falcons-Jaguars player props made Friday at 11:00 a.m. ET