Mavericks vs. Bulls Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets
The Dallas Mavericks (36-28) are favored by 3.5 points against the Chicago Bulls (31-33) on Monday, March 11, 2024 at 8:00 PM ET. The matchup airs on NBCS. The matchup has an over/under set at 232 points.
Mavericks vs. Bulls Odds
How to Bet on Mavericks vs. Bulls
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Bulls?
Mavericks and Bulls Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Mavericks are 17-13 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
The Bulls have a 16-14 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 3.5 points or more.
The Mavericks and the Bulls combine to average 1.2 fewer points per game than the total of 232 set for this game.
Dallas and Chicago have seen its opponents average a combined 0.5 fewer points per game than the point total of 232 set in this matchup.
The average total the Mavericks have had set in games this season is 5.3 more points than this outing’s point total.
Chicago’s games this year have averaged a total of 225.1 points, 6.9 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
Dallas’ ATS record is 34-30-0 this season.
So far this season, the Bulls have compiled a 33-30-1 record against the spread.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks average 119.0 points per game (sixth in the league) while allowing 118.2 per contest (23rd in the NBA). They have a +50 scoring differential overall.
The Mavericks rank 23rd in the league at 42.1 rebounds per game. That’s 3.4 fewer than the 45.5 their opponents average.
Dallas hits 14.9 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league) at a 37.3% rate (12th in the NBA), compared to the 13.4 per game its opponents make at a 37.2% rate.
The Mavericks score 119.2 points per 100 possessions (seventh in the league), while allowing 118.4 points per 100 possessions (21st in the NBA).
So far in 2023-24, the Mavericks’ offense has been better at home, where they score 120.1 points per game, compared to road games, where they put up 117.8 per game. Defensively, they have been tougher when playing at home, where they concede 116.8 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow opponents to score 119.8 per game.
Bulls Stats & Insights
The Bulls have a -90 scoring differential, falling short by 1.5 points per game. They’re putting up 111.8 points per game, 24th in the league, and are giving up 113.3 per outing to rank 13th in the NBA.
Chicago records 43.6 rebounds per game (15th in league), compared to the 43.8 of its opponents.
The Bulls knock down 11.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league), 2.7 fewer than their opponents. They are shooting 35.9% from beyond the arc (19th in NBA) and opponents are shooting 36.5%.
The Bulls average 115.3 points per 100 possessions on offense (19th in league), and allow 116.7 points per 100 possessions (16th in NBA).
At home Chicago is putting up 111.7 points per game, 0.2 fewer points than it is averaging away (111.9).
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
The Mavericks get 34.7 points, 9.0 rebounds and 9.8 assists from Luka Doncic.
Doncic leads active Mavericks in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 3.9 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Doncic averages 1.5 steals per game, while Daniel Gafford swats 2.2 shots per contest.
Bulls Key Players to Watch
DeMar DeRozan pours in 23.2 points per game. He also adds 4.3 rebounds per outing and 5.4 assists per contest.
This season, Nikola Vucevic is averaging 18.2 points, 3.3 assists and 10.7 rebounds per game.
Coby White hits 2.9 treys per game.
The Bulls’ defensive effort gets a lift from Alex Caruso (1.6 steals and 1.1 blocks per game).
Under (232)
Mavericks 116 – Bulls 115
