Lakers vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Kyrie Irving’s Dallas Mavericks (35-35) will look to secure an upset of Anthony Davis and the Los Angeles Lakers (34-36) on March 17, 2023. The Lakers are a 4.5-point favorite. The matchup’s over/under is 228.

Lakers vs. Mavericks Odds

• Lakers odds to win: -197
• Mavericks odds to win: +166
• Spread: Lakers (-4.5)
• Total: 228

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Game Time and Information

• When: Friday, March 17, 2023 at 10:30 PM ET
• Where: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
• TV: NBA TV, SportsNet LA, and BSSW

Who Will Win Lakers vs. Mavericks?

Lakers and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Lakers have an 8-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 4.5 points or more.

The Mavericks have a 7-6 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 4.5 points or more.

The two teams average a combined 2.5 more points per game, 230.5, than this matchup’s total of 228 points.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 2.3 more points per game, 230.3, than this matchup’s total of 228 points.

The average total in Lakers games this season is 5.6 more points than the total of 228 in this game.

The average point total for Dallas this season is 0.8 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

So far this season, Los Angeles has put together a 34-34-2 record against the spread.

So far this season, the Mavericks have compiled a 25-42-3 record against the spread.

Lakers Stats & Insights

The Lakers average 116.6 points per game (eighth in the league) while giving up 117.0 per outing (21st in the NBA). They have a -32 scoring differential overall.

The Lakers rank fifth in the league at 45.5 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 45.5 their opponents average.

Los Angeles connects on 1.8 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 10.7 (25th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 12.5.

The Lakers average 110.8 points per 100 possessions on offense (23rd in the league), and allow 111.6 points per 100 possessions (13th in the NBA).

During the 2022-23 season, the Lakers score 1.0 more point per home game on average than on the road (117.1 at home, 116.1 on the road), but are allowing 5.3 fewer points per home game compared to road games (114.3 at home, 119.6 on the road).

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks have a +39 scoring differential, putting up 113.9 points per game (16th in league) and allowing 113.3 (15th in NBA).

Dallas comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 5.2 boards. It collects 38.8 rebounds per game (30th in league) compared to its opponents’ 44.0.

The Mavericks hit 15.1 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league), 4.0 more than their opponents. They are shooting 37.0% from deep (10th in NBA), and opponents are shooting 35.2%.

The Mavericks average 114.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (seventh in league), and allow 113.4 points per 100 possessions (20th in NBA).

In 2022-23 Dallas is averaging 2.6 more points per game at home (115.1) than on the road (112.5).

Lakers Key Players to Watch

Davis averages 26.1 points, 12.6 rebounds and 2.5 assists per game.

D’Angelo Russell contributes with 3.2 boards and 6.2 assists per game in addition to his 18.0 PPG scoring average.

The Lakers get 3.0 three-pointers per game out of Malik Beasley.

Jarred Vanderbilt picks up 1.1 takeaways per game, while Davis records 2.1 rejections per contest.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

The Mavericks go-to guy, Irving, leads active Mavericks players in both scoring (27.2 points per game) and assists (5.6 assists per game).

Christian Wood has per-game averages of 17.3 points, 1.6 assists and 7.7 rebounds this season.

Tim Hardaway Jr. cashes in on 3.0 treys per game.

The Mavericks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Irving (1.1 steals per game) and Wood (1.1 blocks per game).

• Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 4.5)
• Pick OU:

  Over (228)
  

• Prediction:
  Lakers 117 – Mavericks 114