76ers vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers (49-26) will look to fend off Luka Doncic’s Dallas Mavericks (37-39) on March 29, 2023. The 76ers are a 5-point favorite.

76ers vs. Mavericks Odds

• 76ers odds to win: -210
• Mavericks odds to win: +174
• Spread: 76ers (-5)

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Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, March 29, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
• TV: ESPN, NBCS-PH, and BSSW

Who Will Win 76ers vs. Mavericks?

76ers and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 5-point favorites this season, the 76ers are 14-14 against the spread.

In games they have played as at least 5-point underdogs this season, the Mavericks are 5-6 against the spread.

Philadelphia is 44-31-0 ATS this season.

The Mavericks’ ATS record is 28-44-4 this season.

76ers Stats & Insights

The 76ers have a +344 scoring differential, topping opponents by 4.6 points per game. They’re putting up 115.2 points per game to rank 14th in the league and are allowing 110.6 per outing to rank third in the NBA.

The 40.9 rebounds per game the 76ers average rank 26th in the league. Their opponents grab 41.3 per outing.

Philadelphia knocks down 12.6 three-pointers per game (11th in the league) while shooting 38.6% from deep (second-best in the NBA). It is making 1.1 more threes per outing than its opponents, who drain 11.5 per game while shooting 34.6%.

The 76ers average 115.4 points per 100 possessions on offense (fourth in the league), and give up 109.9 points per 100 possessions (seventh in the NBA).

The 76ers’ offense has been much worse at home (114.7 PPG) compared to their play on the road (115.6 PPG). Meanwhile, their defense has been better in home games (109.3 PPG allowed) compared to away games (111.8 PPG allowed).

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks have a +43 scoring differential, putting up 113.9 points per game (16th in league) and conceding 113.3 (15th in NBA).

Dallas loses the rebound battle by 5.6 boards on average. It records 38.6 rebounds per game, 30th in the league, while its opponents grab 44.2.

The Mavericks knock down 15.1 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league), 4.1 more than their opponents. They are shooting 37.1% from deep (ninth-best in NBA), and opponents are shooting 35%.

The Mavericks score 114.3 points per 100 possessions (eighth in league), while giving up 113.5 points per 100 possessions (20th in NBA).

At home Dallas is scoring 115.2 points per game, 2.7 more than it is averaging away (112.5).

76ers Key Players to Watch

Embiid accumulates 33.3 points and 10.2 rebounds per game, with 4.2 assists.

James Harden’s averages this season are 21.4 points, 6.3 rebounds and 10.8 assists per game.

De’Anthony Melton leads active 76ers in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.1 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Melton averages 1.7 steals per game, while Embiid swats 1.7 shots per contest.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Doncic has shown out this season to lead active Mavericks players in points (32.9 per game), rebounds (8.6 per game), and assists (8.1 per game).

Tim Hardaway Jr. averages 2.9 made threes per game.

The Mavericks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Doncic (1.4 steals per game) and Christian Wood (1.1 blocks per game).

• Pick ATS: 76ers (- 5)
• Prediction:
  76ers 118 – Mavericks 109