Mavericks vs. Heat Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Dallas is just a 2-point favorite against Miami when the Mavericks (37-40) and the Heat (40-37) hit the court on April 1, 2023 in a game expected to be a close matchup. A point total of 224.5 has been set for the game.

Mavericks vs. Heat Odds

• Mavericks odds to win: -133
• Heat odds to win: +112
• Spread: Mavericks (-2)
• Total: 224.5

Mavericks vs. Heat Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Saturday, April 1, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: FTX Arena in Miami, Florida
• TV: NBA TV, BSSUN, and BSSW

Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Heat?

Mavericks and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 2-point favorites this season, the Mavericks are 14-31-2 against the spread.

The Heat have an 8-11 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 2 points or more this season.

The Mavericks and the Heat combine to average 2.0 fewer points per game than the total of 224.5 set for this game.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 223.1 points per game, 1.4 fewer than the over/under for this game.

The Mavericks’ average total in outings this year has been 227.1, 2.6 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.

The average point total for Miami this year is 6.0 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

So far this season, Dallas has compiled a 28-45-4 record against the spread.

The Heat have a 27-46-4 record against the spread this season.

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks average 113.8 points per game (16th in the league) while giving up 113.3 per outing (15th in the NBA). They have a +35 scoring differential overall.

The Mavericks rank 30th in the league at 38.6 rebounds per game. That’s 5.6 fewer than the 44.2 their opponents average.

Dallas makes 15.2 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league) at a 37.2% rate (ninth-best in the NBA), compared to the 11 per game its opponents make at a 35.1% rate.

The Mavericks put up 114.3 points per 100 possessions (eighth in the league), while giving up 113.6 points per 100 possessions (20th in the NBA).

The Mavericks have been better offensively at home, where they average 115.2 points per game, compared to road games, where they score 112.4 per game. Defensively, they are better in home games, where they allow 111.8 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they allow opponents to average 114.8 per game.

Heat Stats & Insights

The Heat have been outscored by 1.1 points per game (posting 108.7 points per game, 30th in league, while conceding 109.8 per contest, second in NBA) and have a -81 scoring differential.

Miami ranks 28th in the league at 40.6 rebounds per game. That’s 1.5 fewer than the 42.1 its opponents average.

The Heat make 11.7 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), 1.5 fewer than their opponents.

The Heat rank 25th in the NBA with 109.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and ninth defensively with 110.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Miami scores 110.7 points per game at home, and 106.7 away.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

The Mavericks get 32.8 points, 8.7 rebounds and 8.1 assists from Luka Doncic.

Tim Hardaway Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Mavericks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.9 per contest.

Doncic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Christian Wood swats one shot per contest.

Heat Key Players to Watch

Bam Adebayo is at the top of the Heat scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 20.7 points per game and 9.3 rebounds per game to go with 3.3 assists per contest this season.

Jimmy Butler’s per-game averages this season are 22.6 points, 5.1 assists and 5.9 rebounds.

Tyler Herro knocks down 3.1 threes per game.

Butler’s 1.8 steals and Adebayo’s 0.9 blocks per game are important to the Heat’s defensive performance.

• Pick ATS: Heat (+ 2)
• Pick OU:

  Under (224.5)
  

• Prediction:
  Heat 113 – Mavericks 110