Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres odds, picks and predictions

The Los Angeles Dodgers (63-45) and San Diego Padres (54-56) meet Saturday for game 2 of a 4-game series. First pitch from Petco Park is set for 8:40 p.m. ET (FS1). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Dodgers vs. Padres odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 6-1

Los Angeles won 10-5 as +114 road underdogs in the series opener Friday. San Diego led 3-1 after 7 innings, but L.A. scored 5 runs in the 8th and 3 more in the 9th to win a 6th straight in the head-to-head series.

The Dodgers have won 4 straight, are 6-4 in their last 10 overall and are 29-25 on the road this season.

The Padres, who are 29-26 at home, had a 2-game win streak snapped with Friday’s loss. They are 5-2 in their last 7 and 6-4 in their last 10.

Dodgers at Padres projected starters

RHP Michael Grove vs. LHP Blake Snell 

Grove (2-3, 6.75 ERA) is slated to make his 12th start of the season — and 15th appearance. He has a 1.58 WHIP, 2.6 BB/9 and 9.0 K/9 in 62 2/3 innings.

• Last outing: Loss, 6 IP, 8 ER, 10 H, 1 BB, 10 K in 9-0 home loss to Cincinnati Reds Sunday
• 2023 road stats: 1-1, 8.85 ERA (20 1/3 IP, 20 ER), 2.21 WHIP, 5.8 K/9
• Never faced Padres before — made MLB debut May 15, 2022

Snell (8-8, 2.50 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.29 WHIP, 5.1 BB/9 and 11.8 K/9 through 119 innings.

• Last outing: Win, 5 IP, 0 ER (1 unearned), 4 H, 4 BB, 9 K in 5-3 home win vs. Texas Rangers Sunday
• 2023 home stats: 7-4, 2.58 ERA (59 1/3 IP, 17 ER), 1.21 WHIP, 12.6 K/9
• Career vs. Dodgers (regular season): 1-2, 2.61 ERA (51 2/3 IP, 15 ER), 1.10 WHIP, 11.5 K/9 in 11 starts

Dodgers at Padres odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:15 p.m. ET.

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Dodgers at Padres picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 4, Padres 1

LEAN DODGERS (+135).

As mentioned, Los Angeles has dominated San Diego this season, winning 6 in a row. Plus, the Dodgers are 3-1 the last 4 times they faced Snell in a regular-season contest.

Snell is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA (21 IP, 9 ER) and 1.24 WHIP in those 4 starts, including 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA (12 IP, 4 ER) and a 1.00 WHIP in 2 starts this season.

Look for the DODGERS (+135) to continue their hot streak vs. the Padres Saturday.

PASS. 

I’m confident the Dodgers will cover the run line, but at +1.5 (-150), the juice eliminates the value. Bet the moneyline and/or O/U instead.

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BET UNDER 8.5 (+100).

The Under is 7-2 in the Padres last 9 games, 4-1 in Snell’s last 5 starts, and 4-0 in Snell’s last 4 starts vs. the Dodgers — which includes a 2022 playoff game.

Prior to Friday’s opener cashing an Over ticket — thanks to the Dodgers’ late runs — the Under was 6-0 in the previous 6 head-to-head meetings.

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