New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 10-1-23 MLB Picks

The Philadelphia Phillies and the New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action from Citi Field. This will be the final game of the regular season. In Saturday’s doubleheader matchup, the Mets eked out a win in game one. In the nightcap, New York kept it up with a seven-run victory. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

Philadelphia Phillies 

The Phillies got off to a slow start in game one on Saturday, giving up four runs in the first two innings. Philly made a game of it but still lost 4-3. Weston Wilson finished with two hits, a run and an RBI in the defeat. In game two the Phillies gave up eight runs in the first three innings during an 11-4 loss. Kyle Schwarber posted a three-run homer, however. 

In the starter role for the Sunday game the Phillies will send out Nick Nelson in his season debut. Nelson is 4-4 with a 5.38 ERA over 69 games (four starts) in his career. 

Philadelphia Phillies Team Facts

The Phillies have lost each of their last eight games against the Mets following a road loss.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games against the Mets following a road loss.
The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games at Citi Field.
The Phillies have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last seven games at Citi Field.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Phillies' last three day games at Citi Field.

New York Mets 

Over on the Mets’ side, in game one Saturday they were out-hit 7-5 but made the most of their time at the plate. Pete Alonso, Brett Baty and Omar Narvaez (homer) each had an RBI in the win. In game two New York got six RBI, two homers and three runs from Francisco Alvarez in the big victory. 

It’ll be Jose Butto in the starting role for the Mets on Sunday. This year Butto is 1-3 with a 3.75 ERA in eight games (six starts). Over his last seven games (five starts) Butto is 1-3 with a 4.06 ERA and 32 Ks in 31.0 innings. 

New York Mets Team Facts

The favorites have won each of the last 10 games between the Phillies and Mets.
The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs.
The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games as home underdogs.
The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against the Phillies at Citi Field.
The Mets have led after 7 innings in each of their last seven games against the Phillies at Citi Field.

Matchup/League Facts

The New York Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (219).
The New York Mets rank T27th in the league for hits this season (1268).
The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.
The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 3 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and home runs this season.

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I might take a stab on the Mets here. Butto wasn’t great in his last outing though, so he’ll need a bounce-back effort. On September 24 versus the Phillies, Butto put up 4.0 innings with four earned in a loss versus the Phillies. That said, in his two starts prior Butto was 1-0 with 11.0 innings and just two earned. In the Saturday games the Mets got a couple of big performances at the plate and a nice outing from the bullpen. I think New York can pull off the sweep in game three.