New York Mets vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 9-3-23 MLB Picks

The Seattle Mariners and the New York Mets meet Sunday in MLB action from Citi Field. This matchup marks the finale in a three-game series. In the Friday opener, New York eked out a low-scoring win. On Saturday in game two Seattle returned the favor with a close win of their own. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.

Seattle Mariners 

The Mariners had a brief lead in the Friday opener of this series, but ultimately fell 2-1. JP Crawford had the lone RBI with a solo home run. In the Saturday game Seattle was out-hit 13-10 but still managed to power out an 8-7 win. Teoscar Hernandez had a big day with two hits, three RBI and a homer. Dominic Canzone had a two-run shot, and Crawford scored three runs. 

In the starter role for the finale game, Seattle is going with George Kirby. In his 25 starts this season Kirby has a 3.28 ERA with a 10-8 record and 142 Ks in 156.1 innings of work. Kirby is 2-0 with a 2.89 ERA in his last seven starts. 

Seattle Mariners Team Facts

• The Mariners have lost five of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
• The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 7 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
• The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games against NL East opponents.
• The Mariners have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.

New York Mets 

Over on the Mets’ side, they got a solo home run from Brandon Nimmo and another RBI from Daniel Vogelbach in the Friday victory. On Saturday New York was able to hang around for most of the game but couldn’t keep the pace late. DJ Stewart had three RBI and a homer, and Francisco Lindor managed two runs, two RBI and a home run. 

As starting pitcher Sunday the Mets will send out Tylor Megill. This year in 20 starts Megill is 7-7 with a 5.29 ERA and 82 Ks in 97.0 innings. Megill is 2-3 with a 5.56 ERA over his last seven starts, striking out 33 in 34.0 frames. 

New York Mets Team Facts

• The Mets have lost each of their last five day games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
• The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against American League opponents.
• The Mets have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Sunday home games.
• The 'Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Mets' last six games.

Matchup/League Facts

• The New York Mets ranks 29th in the league for doubles this season (181).
• The New York Mets ranks 26th in the league for hits this season (1069).
• The Seattle Mariners ranks 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.66).
• The Seattle Mariners ranks 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (332).

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I’ll probably try the Mets here. Megill is on a decent run lately, despite a sketchy 4.2 innings and three earned in a loss to Atlanta back on August 22. Even with that defeat included, Megill is 1-1 with six earned runs in 15.2 innings over his last three starts. He should be able to at least flirt with a quality start in this finale. On Saturday the Mets did a pretty nice job on offense, but the bad news is that they used six pitchers in a rough loss. New York has given up just one run in two of their last four games, so another defensive performance like that would go a long way in the finale.