NFL picks, 49ers vs. Chiefs odds, SGP, 2024 Super Bowl bets by top model: This 8-way parlay pays back 147-1
Allegiant Stadium is the home of the Las Vegas Raiders and on Sunday, Feb. 11 it will host Super Bowl LVIII between the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers. The 2024 Super Bowl will be the first played in Las Vegas, and what is already the biggest gambling event in the United States every year will become even bigger in Sin City. The latest Super Bowl 58 odds list San Francisco as a 2-point favorite, while the over/under is 47.5 points, but there are plenty of ways to bet on the Big Game like Super Bowl player props.
The catalog of Super Bowl props expands every year and you can roll basic bets like individual 49ers vs. Chiefs player props into your Super Bowl 58 parlay picks or even novelty props like what color the Gatorade will be. How do you pare down your Super Bowl prop bets and put together a strategic 2024 Super Bowl parlay that will give you an opportunity for a sizable return? Before you make any Super Bowl picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the conference championship round of the 2024 NFL playoffs on an incredible 184-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It also is on a 38-21 roll on top-rated picks since Week 7 of last season and nailed seven straight top-rated picks entering the 2024 NFL playoffs.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has locked in eight confident NFL best bets for Super Bowl 58. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 147-1. You can only see the model's Super Bowl NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Super Bowl NFL picks
After simulating Super Bowl 58 10,000 times, the model predicts 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy finishes well under 247.5 passing yards for a -119 payout. The last pick in the 2022 NFL Draft (Mr. Irrelevant), Purdy has been a revelation for the 49ers. He led them on an epic seven-game winning streak as a rookie before suffering an injury that knocked him out of the 2023 NFC Championship Game against the Eagles.
He followed that up by throwing for 4,280 yards and 31 touchdowns in a season where he was in MVP contention most of the way in 2023. However, his numbers have dropped off considerably since a four-interception game against the Ravens on Christmas Day. After averaging 9.8 yards per pass attempt over his first 14 games, he's only averaged 7.7 yards per attempt over his last four games and he's failed to reach 248 passing yards in three of his last five starts.
Against a Kansas City run defense that ranked 18th in the NFL this season, expect the 49ers to attack the line of scrimmage with Christian McCaffrey and their versatile running game. Meanwhile, the Chiefs ranked fourth in the NFL in pass defense and have held 13 of 20 opposing quarterbacks to 247 yards or less this season. Those are big reasons why the model predicts that Purdy only passes for 223 yards on average. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.
How to make Super Bowl NFL parlays
The model also jumped on seven other NFL picks where it says the line is way off, including one side of the total that hits over 60% of the time. You can only see the model's NFL Super Bowl bets and parlay at SportsLine.
What are the model's top NFL Super Bowl picks? And which other NFL bets should you target for a payout that could be in the triple-digits? Visit SportsLine now to see the Super Bowl 58 best bets from a model on a 184-129 run on its top-rated picks, and find out.
