NFL Week 3 best underdog bets, picks, game odds: Claim top sportsbook promo bonus offers
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NFL underdogs have had even more bite than bark so far with a 19-11-2 record against the point spread through the first two weeks of the season.
After a 2-1 opening week, I went 1-2 in Week 2 to fall to 3-3 ATS on the season. Following are my three best underdog bets for Week 3.
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The Bills are deservedly favored after their get-right, 38-10 home romp against the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 2.
But giving nearly seven points on the road against a 2-0 Commanders team?
That’s simply too many, particularly with Washington possessing many of the ingredients needed to give Josh Allen and Co., problems.
Pressuring Allen and forcing him into game-changing turnovers is key as the New York Jets ably demonstrated in Week 1, with four takeaways in a 22-16 home win.
Cue the Commanders’ defense, which owns the league’s eighth-best pressure rate (28 percent of opponents’ dropbacks) and is tied with the Dallas Cowboys for the NFL lead in sacks with 10.
Offensively, Washington lacks Buffalo’s big names, but second-year QB Sam Howell (299 passing yards, 2 TDs, no interceptions) and RB Brian Robinson (129 scrimmage yards, 2 TDs) aren’t to be overlooked after helping rally the Commanders from a 21-3 deficit to a 35-33 road Week 2 road win in Denver.
Yes, we are flying with the Jets for the second straight week after they turned the ball over four times and failed to cover in 30-10 loss last Sunday in Dallas.
Now they find themselves as underdogs for the third straight game — this time at home against an 0-2 Patriots team.
New England has owned this AFC East series of late, winning 14 straight against Gang Green, including tight 10-3 and 22-17 victories a season ago.
New York’s major question mark, of course, is third-year QB Zach Wilson, who was picked off three times and threw for only 170 yards in the loss to the Cowboys.
The Pats, though, don’t have Micah Parsons. And if Wilson can cut his miscues down to one or fewer, New York’s superior surrounding talent should be able to do what’s necessary to end the series skid.
Somewhat surprisingly, this is the only Week 3 matchup of 2-0 teams, and it will take place in Tampa in Game 1 of another Monday night double feature.
No one is shocked that the defending NFC-champion Eagles are off to a 2-0 start.
But Philly has been far from perfect, particularly in the secondary, where they have surrendered the league’s second-most passing yards (652) and the most aerial TDs (7). Now they’re also without slot cornerback Avonte Maddox, who is on IR.
That doesn’t bode well against a hot Baker Mayfield — who’s thrown for 490 yards and three TDs and owns the league’s fifth-best QB rating (104.4) — and his formidable cast of targets, led by veteran wideout Mike Evans (NFL fourth-most 237 receiving yards).
If the Eagles aren’t able to add significantly to the one sack the Bucs have surrendered so far this season, this has the makings of a tight, high-scoring shootout.
And, in that case, you’ll want the underdog Bucs and the points.
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