Nuggets vs. Suns Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Denver Nuggets (42-19) are favored (by 8.5 points) to extend a three-game home win streak when they host the Phoenix Suns (35-26) on Tuesday, March 5, 2024 at 10:00 PM ET. The point total is set at 223.5 for the matchup.

Nuggets vs. Suns Odds

How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Suns

Game Time and Information

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Suns?

Nuggets and Suns Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets are 8-9-1 against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.

The Nuggets and the Suns combine to average 8.1 more points per game than the over/under of 223.5 set for this game.

Denver and Phoenix have seen its opponents average a combined 1.2 more points per game than the point total of 223.5 set for this outing.

The average total the Nuggets have had set in games this year is 1.3 more points than this outing’s point total.

The average point total for Phoenix this season is 8.0 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Denver is 27-32-2 ATS this season.

The Suns have a 24-35-2 record against the spread this season.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets are outscoring opponents by 4.2 points per game with a +260 scoring differential overall. They put up 114.5 points per game (16th in the NBA) and give up 110.3 per outing (seventh in the league).

The Nuggets rank eighth in the league at 44.4 rebounds per game. That’s 2.5 more than the 41.9 their opponents average.

Denver makes 11.5 three-pointers per game (27th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.4. It shoots 36.8% from deep while its opponents hit 36.4% from long range.

The Nuggets rank seventh in the league by averaging 119.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are ninth in the NBA, allowing 114.8 points per 100 possessions.

In the 2023-24 season, the Nuggets are scoring 7.5 more points per home game on average than on the road (118.5 at home, 111.0 on the road), but are allowing 3.1 fewer points per home game compared to road games (108.7 at home, 111.8 on the road).

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns have a +163 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.7 points per game. They’re putting up 117.1 points per game, 11th in the league, and are allowing 114.4 per contest to rank 16th in the NBA.

Phoenix averages 43.9 rebounds per game (14th in league) while allowing 41.7 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.2 boards per game.

The Suns make 12.0 three-pointers per game (21st in the league) while shooting 37.6% from deep (seventh-best in NBA). They are making 1.1 fewer threes than their opponents, who drain 13.1 per game at 36.3%.

The Suns rank 11th in the league averaging 118.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 13th, allowing 116.0 points per 100 possessions.

Phoenix scores 117.1 points per game at home, and the same number away.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Nikola Jokic averages 25.9 points and 12.2 rebounds and 9.2 assists per game.

Michael Porter Jr. leads active Nuggets in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Jokic picks up 1.2 takeaways per game, while Peyton Watson collects 1.0 block per contest.

Suns Key Players to Watch

The Suns go-to guy, Kevin Durant, leads active Suns players in both scoring (27.8 points per game) and assists (5.5 assists per game).

This season, Jusuf Nurkic has a statline of 11.8 points, 3.8 assists and 10.7 rebounds per game.

Grayson Allen averages 2.5 made threes per game.

The Suns’ defensive efforts get a lift from Nurkic’s 1.0 steal and Durant’s 1.3 blocks per game.

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