Patriots vs Giants prediction, odds, line, spread, time: 2023 NFL picks, Week 12 best bets from computer model
The New York Giants look for their second straight victory as they host the New England Patriots on Sunday afternoon in a matchup between teams having disappointing seasons. New York (3-8) swept the Commanders last Sunday, 31-19, while New England (2-8) enters off a bye week following a 10-6 loss to the Colts in Germany. The Patriots have won the last two meetings, including a 35-14 victory in 2019. New York is 3-7-1 against the spread, while New England is 2-8 ATS in 2023.
Kickoff from MetLife Stadium is set for 1 p.m. ET. New England is a 4.5-point favorite in the Patriots vs. Giants odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 34. Before making any Giants vs. Patriots picks of your own, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is WAY UP!
Now, the model has set its sights on Patriots vs. Giants and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 12 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Giants vs. Patriots:
- Giants vs. Patriots spread: Patriots -4.5
- Giants vs. Patriots over/under: 34 points
- Giants vs. Patriots money line: Patriots -215, Giants +177
- Giants vs. Patriots picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Giants vs. Patriots live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Patriots can cover
New England has lost six of its last seven games but enters off a bye with quarterback issues. It's unclear whether Mac Jones will be the team's starting quarterback this weekend after he was benched late against the Colts in Week 10. Considering the team has only scored about 17 points once since Week 1, New England will likely have to rely on its defense to slow down the Giants and keep the game lower-scoring.
Two offensive weapons of note for New England are running back Rhamondre Stevenson and wide receiver Demario Douglas. Stevenson has topped 100 combined rushing/receiving yards in each of the team's last two games though he's only scored three total touchdowns on the season. Douglas is the team's de-facto No. 1 receiver and has posted more than 50 receiving yards in three of the team's last four games. See which team to pick here.
Why the Giants can cover
For New York to have success, the offense must revolve around star running back Saquon Barkley. In the team's victory over Washington last week, Barkley ran for 83 yards on 14 carries and caught four passes for 57 yards and two touchdowns. He has rushed for 77 or more yards in five of the last six Giants games, though he only has one rushing touchdown on the season (with four receiving scores).
Rookie undrafted free agent quarterback Tommy DeVito was excellent in Sunday's win, completing 18 of 26 passes for 246 yards and three scores. Facing a New England secondary that ranks in the bottom half of the league in passing yards allowed (228.8), DeVito has an opportunity to find success for the second consecutive week. A balanced offense would give the Giants a strong chance to pull the home upset in Week 12. See which team to pick here.
How to make Patriots vs. Giants picks
The model has simulated New England vs. New York 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time. You can only see the model's Giants vs. Patriots pick at SportsLine.
