San Diego Padres at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

The San Diego Padres (19-21) hope to avoid a 3-game sweep by the Los Angeles Dodgers (25-15) on Sunday. First pitch for the series finale is Sunday at 4:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Padres vs. Dodgers odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Dodgers lead 4-1

The Padres have lost 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7 after the Dodgers have taken both games of the series so far with 4-2 victories. San Diego has been held to 3 or fewer runs in 6 of its last 7 games, all losses.

The Dodgers have a 4-game winning streak and are 12-2 in their last 14 games.

Padres at Dodgers projected starters

LHP Ryan Weathers vs. RHP Tony Gonsolin

Weathers (1-1, 2.50 ERA) makes his 4th start and 6th appearance overall. He has a 1.11 WHIP, 5 BB and 11 K in 18 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP 6 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 5 K in 2-0 loss to the Atlanta Braves on April 17
• Is 0-0 with career 3.95 ERA in 4 appearances (3 starts) vs. Dodgers

Gonsolin (0-1, 1.93 ERA) makes his 4th start. He has a 1.07 WHIP, 5 BB and 10 K in 14 innings.

• Last start: Loss, 6 IP, 3 R (0 ER), 3 H, 0 BB, 6 Ks in 9-3 loss Monday at Milwaukee Brewers
• Is 4-0 with career 1.45 ERA in 6 appearances (5 starts) vs. Padres

Padres at Dodgers odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

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Padres at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Padres 3

The Dodgers have won 12 of their last 14 games and are 14-6 at home while the Padres have lost 4 in a row and 6 of their last 7 games.

It seems 5 runs is the magic number for the Padres. They are 10-0 in their last 10 games scoring 5 or more runs. They are 0-10 in their last 10 games scoring fewer than 5 runs.

The Dodgers have allowed 4 or fewer runs in 11 of their last 13 games.

The moneyline is a little too costly to bet the Dodgers here, but they are  good bet on the run line.

PASS.

Ten of the Dodgers’ last 12 wins have been by 2 or more runs. Their last 3 wins over the Padres have been by more than 1 run. Meanwhile, 9 of the Padres’ last 12 losses have been by more than 1 run.

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+105).

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None of the last 12 games between the Padres and Dodgers have reached 9 total runs. The Padres’ last 10 games have had 8 or fewer total runs.

BET UNDER 9.5 (-115).

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