Super Bowl 2024 Same Game Parlay best bets for Chiefs vs. 49ers

Super Bowl 58 is rapidly getting closer and closer as Super Bowl media week is in full swing with players and coaches getting interviewed inside Allegiant Stadium for the remainder of week.

I've broken down Super Bowl Sunday from a betting perspective in multiple different ways from who I'm betting on to take home MVP, who will score a touchdown and ultimately how I believe the game will go in Las Vegas.

Now it's time for a Same Game Parlay, an option on major sportsbooks where if you combine at least two bets, you have a chance at a larger payout than just placing a singular or what's known as a straight bet.

For Super Bowl 57, I nailed two of my three selections as the only outlier was Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes going over his rushing yard line in Kansas City's 38-35 victory over the Eagles.

Here is my Same Game Parlay for Super Bowl 58 this Sunday night in Las Vegas.

1. 49ers' WR Deebo Samuel OVER 15.5 rushing yards (-114)

One of the most dynamic playmakers in the entire NFL is Samuel.

The former second-round pick is just as dangerous carrying the ball as he is catching it. He's recorded at least 225 rushing yards in each of the past three seasons and more impressively has scored 16 rushing touchdowns over that time period.

Samuel has exceeded this line five times this season and recorded 53 yards on the ground in the first time these two teams met in Super Bowl LIV in 2019.

A quick search and you'll see the 28-year-old has yet to hit this line so far this postseason.

However, head coach and play-caller Kyle Shanahan tried to get him involved as he called three running plays for Samuel in the NFC Championship game after he didn't have a single carry in the Divisional Round versus the Packers.

With the Chiefs likely pulling all stops to limit running back Christian McCaffrey, I believe the 49ers will definitely draw up an end around or other unique ways to get Samuel the ball near the line of scrimmage.

While most sportsbooks in New Jersey have Samuel's line at 16.5 rushing yards, BetRivers currently has his number at 15.5 for a price of -114 (Bet $114 to win $100).

2. Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes OVER 259.5 passing yards (-110)

In 2023, Mahomes notably had one of his worst seasons from a statistical standpoint. The reigning MVP and Super Bowl MVP finished with a career-high 14 interceptions and threw for 4,183 yards and 27 touchdowns, both the lowest of his career.

Despite only going over this number once so far in the postseason, I'm betting on Mahomes' over and here's why.

Last year, he didn't need a ton of yardage through the air (182 passing yards) as the Chiefs ran all over the Eagles, going for 158 yards and averaging 6.1 yards per carry.

If Kansas City fails to get former Rutgers' RB Isaiah Pacheco going, Mahomes could be in store for a big day against a beatable San Francisco secondary. He's eclipsed this total in two of three Super Bowl appearances, including a personal best 286 passing yards in Super Bowl LIV versus the 49ers.

To me, this line is a little deflated following Mahomes and company getting held scoreless in the second half of the AFC Championship game.

Add in the fact that I believe we're in store for a high scoring game, I'm betting on the six-time Pro Bowler to go over this number on Super Bowl Sunday.

BetRivers is also the place to go to wager on the over Mahomes 259.5 passing yards at -110 odds (Bet $110 to net $100).

3. 49ers' QB Brock Purdy UNDER 12.5 rushing yards (-113)

The last leg of this Same Game Parlay will be for Purdy to go below his 12.5 rushing yard total line.

The 49ers' signal caller has cleared this line with ease in the playoffs, going for 62 yards on the ground after rushing for 144 yards in his first full season as the starting QB.

However, prior to the postseason, he's not gone over this number since mid-November and only did so four times in the regular season.

Will Purdy need to keep the option of running the ball more often than usual against a stout Chiefs defense? Absolutely.

But 12.5 rushing yards seems a little too high for my liking given how much of the public will likely be on him hitting the over and the inconsistency of him going over this number throughout the entirety of the year outside of the past couple of weeks.

With Mahomes' over 259.5 passing yards (-110), Samuel's over 15.5 rushing yards (-114) and the addition of Purdy's under 12.5 rushing total (-113 on BetRivers), a Same Game Parlay would payout nearly 6-1 odds at +584 (Bet $100 to win $584) on BetRivers for Super Bowl 58.