The American Express 2024 odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that's called 10 majors
The American Express 2024 begins on Thursday, with 22 of the top 50 golfers in the world ranking taking part in the event. There is a three-course rotation in play, with the Stadium Course at PGA West in La Quinta, California, hosting 36 holes, including the final 18 on Sunday. La Quinta Country Club and the Nicklaus Tournament Course are also in the rotation. Scottie Scheffler is the +550 favorite (risk $100 to win $550) in the 2024 American Express odds, while Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele are both 9-1.
There are 11 more golfers listed between 20-1 and 40-1 on the PGA odds board, including Sungjae Im (22-1) and Tom Kim (28-1). Which golfers should you include in your American Express 2024 bets? Before locking in your 2024 American Express picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that The American Express 2024 field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 American Express predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at The American Express 2024: Schauffele, a seven-time winner on the PGA Tour and one of the top favorites, struggles this week and barely cracks the top five. Schauffele is coming off a tie for 10th place at The Sentry, shooting 24-under-par in his first event of the season.
He finished in third place at The American Express last year, but he was outside the top 10 in 2022. While Schauffele performed well on the green during the 2022-23 season, he was not nearly as good off the tee. He finished the year ranked outside the top 100 on the PGA Tour in total driving and driving accuracy, giving bettors a reason to avoid him at short odds this week.
Another surprise: Justin Thomas, a 20-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Thomas has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. There might not be anyone on the PGA Tour who was more excited for a chance to reset following the 2022-23 season, as he struggled throughout the year and missed the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
The two-time major champion is motivated to get off to a hot start this season at an event that he has not played in since 2015. He finished in a tie for seventh place that year, and he is a 15-time winner on the PGA Tour. Thomas is one of the most notable names in The American Express field, but he has valuable longshot odds due to his disappointing 2022-23 campaign. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 American Express picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2024 American Express, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out The American Express 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected American Express leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including last year's Masters and Open Championship.
2024 American Express odds, field
Scottie Scheffler +550Patrick Cantlay +900Xander Schauffele +900Justin Thomas +2000Sungjae Im +2200Min Woo Lee +2500Tom Kim +2800Eric Cole +3500J.T. Poston +3500Sam Burns +3500Jason Day +3500Rickie Fowler +4000Tony Finau +4000Wyndham Clark +4000Chris Kirk +4500Cam Davis +5000Daniel Berger +5000Si Woo Kim +5000Shane Lowry +5000Stephan Jaeger +6500Akshay Bhatia +6500Taylor Montgomery +6500Andrew Putnam +8000Adam Hadwin +8000Beau Hossler +8000Alex Noren +8000Davis Thompson +9000Tom Hoge +9000Billy Horschel +9000Thomas Detry +9000Adam Schenk +10000Keith Mitchell +10000Will Zalatoris +10000Taylor Pendrith +10000Matt Wallace +11000Alex Smalley +11000Ryo Hisatsune +11000Erik van Rooyen +11000Aaron Rai +11000Ben Griffin +12000Matt Kuchar +12000Justin Suh +12000Nicholas Lindheim +15000Sam Stevens +15000Ryan Palmer +15000Lee Hodges +15000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +15000K.H. Lee +15000Chesson Hadley +17000Garrick Higgo +17000Nick Taylor +17000Austin Eckroat +17000Matti Schmid +17000Grayson Murray +17000Mark Hubbard +17000
