The Sentry 2024 odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from proven computer model that's called 10 majors
The world's top golfers are set to compete at The Sentry 2024, which gets underway from the Kapalua Resort in Hawaii on Thursday, Jan. 4. The Sentry 2024 field will be comprised of all tournament winners from 2023 as well as the top 50 in last season's FedEx Cup standings. Scottie Scheffler has finished T-6 or better in nine of his last 11 starts on the PGA Tour and he's coming off a victory at the Hero World Challenge, an unofficial PGA Tour event, in December. That's a big reason why Scheffler is being listed as the 11-2 favorite in the latest The Sentry 2024 odds.
The No. 1 ranked player in the world is followed by Viktor Hovland (17-2), Ludvig Aberg (13-1), Collin Morikawa (13-1), Max Homa (14-1) and Xander Schauffele (14-1) on the PGA odds board. Should your The Sentry 2024 picks include Scheffler to claim victory in Hawaii, or should you look elsewhere for value on the PGA odds board? Before locking in your The Sentry 2024 picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $9,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Jon Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scottie Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that The Sentry 2024 field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
The Sentry 2024 predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at The Sentry 2024: Max Homa, a seven-time PGA Tour champion and one of the top favorites, struggles this week and barely cracks the top 10. Homa is coming off a sensational 2022-23 season which saw him secure two wins and 13 top-10 finishes.
Homa finished last season ranked among the best putters on tour, but accuracy has been an issue for him in recent years. In fact, the 33-year-old finished last season ranked 93rd in driving accuracy (60.15%) and 106th in greens in regulation percentage (66.86%). He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in The Sentry 2024 field.
Another surprise: Tony Finau, a 29-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. Finau has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Finau had an up-and-down season in 2022-23, recording two wins and five top-10 finishes while missing the cut on four occasions. However, Finau performed well at this event in 2023, securing a T-7 finish after shooting 69 or below in all four rounds. Finau finished last season ranked inside the top 25 in several important categories, including scoring average (69.52), birdie average (4.15) and strokes gained: approach to green (0.789). If he's able to drain some putts this week, Finau could find himself in the mix on Sunday. See who else to pick here.
How to make The Sentry 2024 picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win The Sentry 2024, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out The Sentry 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected The Sentry 2024 leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including last year's Masters and Open Championship.
2024 The Sentry odds, field
Scottie Scheffler +550Viktor Hovland +850Ludvig Aberg +1300Collin Morikawa +1300Xander Schauffele +1400Max Homa +1400Patrick Cantlay +1700Tom Kim +2500Jordan Spieth +2600Matt Fitzpatrick +2800Tony Finau +2900Rickie Fowler +3000Tyrrell Hatton +3000Tommy Fleetwood +3000Sungjae Im +3100Hideki Matsuyama +3400Sam Burns +3700Jason Day +3700Cameron Young +4000Russell Henley +4000Sepp Straka +4200Wyndham Clark +4500Brian Harman +5500Keegan Bradley +5500Eric Cole +5500Corey Conners +6000Sahith Theegala +6500Denny McCarthy +6500Justin Rose +6500Cam Davis +6500Luke List +8500Lucas Glover +8500Adam Hadwin +8500Harris English +8500J.T. Poston +8500Byeong Hun An +9500Adam Svensson +9500Vincent Norrman +10000Andrew Putnam +11000Kurt Kitayama +11000Si Woo Kim +11000Brendon Todd +11000Tom Hoge +12000Erik Van Rooyen +12000Emiliano Grillo +12000Matt Wallace +12000Mackenzie Hughes +12000Akshay Bhatia +12000Patrick Rodgers +13000Chris Kirk +13000Camilo Villegas +13000Taylor Moore +16000Davis Riley +17000Seamus Power +17000Nick Taylor +17000Adam Schenk +19000Lee Hodges +19000Nick Hardy +21000
