2023 NASCAR at Richmond odds, predictions, start time: Model shares surprising Toyota Owners 400 picks
The NASCAR Cup Series will continue with the 2023 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway on Sunday. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 3:30 p.m. ET and the race will run 400 laps around the 0.75-mile short track. Joe Gibbs Racing has won six of the last nine races held in Richmond and Denny Hamlin, Martin Truex Jr., Christopher Bell and Ty Gibbs will all try to continue that team's dominance of the D-shaped oval.
Bell is 15-2, Hamlin is 8-1, Truex is 17-2 and Gibbs is 75-1 in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Richmond odds from Caesars Sportsbook. However, William Byron is the 11-2 favorite in the 2023 Toyota Owners 400 odds, followed by Kyle Larson and Kevin Harvick at 6-1. Before scouring the 2023 Toyota Owners 400 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Richmond predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 Toyota Owners 400 picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), and Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1). Then it called Tyler Reddick one of its best values last week when he won in Austin for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping nine winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Top 2023 Toyota Owners 400 predictions
One surprise: the model is high on Tyler Reddick, even though he's a 17-1 long shot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Richmond odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Reddick was one of the two fastest cars all week at Circuit of the Americas and he had to survive several pulse-raising restarts in order to capture his first win of the season.
The 27-year-old is now a four-time winner in the NASCAR Cup Series and all four trips to victory lane have come in his last 25 starts. Reddick finished 12th in the spring race at Richmond last year despite starting 16th and also had three top-10 finishes at Richmond in five NASCAR Xfinity Series starts there. See who else to back at SportsLine.
And a massive shocker: Kevin Harvick, one of the Vegas favorites at 6-1, stumbles big-time and fails to crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 Toyota Owners 400 starting lineup. Harvick won at Richmond last August and has a total of four career victories on the three-quarter mile oval.
However, he hasn't run well in recent weeks, finishing 33rd in Atlanta after a crash and 13th last week at Circuit of the Americas. This is scheduled to be his final full-time season in the NASCAR Cup Series. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.
How to make 2023 NASCAR at Richmond picks
The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 Richmond NASCAR odds of 15-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
2023 Toyota Owners 400 odds, lineup
William Byron 11-2Kyle Larson 6-1Kevin Harvick 6-1Christopher Bell 15-2Denny Hamlin 8-1Martin Truex Jr. 17-2Kyle Busch 10-1Ryan Blaney 15-1Joey Logano 15-1Tyler Reddick 17-1Ross Chastain 17-1Alex Bowman 20-1Brad Keselowski 22-1Chris Buescher 30-1Daniel Suarez 30-1Josh Berry 30-1Aric Almirola 45-1Bubba Wallace 50-1Chase Briscoe 50-1Ty Gibbs 75-1Austin Cindric 75-1Austin Dillon 75-1Ryan Preece 100-1Erik Jones 100-1A.J. Allmendinger 100-1Michael McDowell 200-1Chandler Smith 200-1Noah Gragson 200-1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300-1Justin Haley 400-1Harrison Burton 400-1Corey Lajoie 1000-1Todd Gilliland 1500-1Ty Dillon 2000-1Anthony Alfredo 2500-1Cody Ware 5000-1
