2023 HighPoint 400 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR at Pocono leaderboard, predictions from proven model

The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series season continues on Sunday with the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 at Pocono Raceway. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 2:30 p.m. ET. Denny Hamlin is a six-time winner at Pocono Raceway and he's the 5-1 favorite in the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Teammate Martin Truex Jr., who captured his third win of the season last week and now leads the 2023 NASCAR standings, is listed at 11-2 in the NASCAR at Pocono odds.

Our proven NASCAR projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 13 winners since 2021! Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.    

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2023 HighPoint 400 and released its projections.

A stalwart of the NASCAR schedule since 1974, Pocono Raceway is one of NASCAR's most unique long-term venues. The 2.5-mile, asphalt circuit is a three-turn triangle with long straightaways and little banking in the corners. That requires heavy braking and a lot of shifting, making it race almost like a road course. Hamlin's six wins ties him with Jeff Gordon for the most in NASCAR history at Pocono but Hendrick Motorsports has won on "The Tricky Triangle" two of the last three years, with Chase Elliott winning in 2022 and Alex Bowman taking the checkered flag in 2020.

For the 2023 HightPoint.com 400, we can tell you the model is high on Kevin Harvick, even though he's a 16-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Pocono odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Denny Hamlin, the Vegas favorite at 5-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five! There are far better values in the 2023 HighPoint 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two OTHER driverswith 2023 NASCAR at Pocono odds of 12-1 or higher to make a serious run at the checkered flag!Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.