2023 NASCAR at Pocono odds, predictions, lineup, start time: Model reveals surprising HighPoint 400 race picks
The NASCAR Cup Series season continues on Sunday with the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 at Pocono Raceway. The green flag is scheduled to drop at 2:30 p.m. ET. A stalwart of the NASCAR schedule since 1974, Pocono Raceway is one of NASCAR's most unique venues. The 2.5-mile, asphalt circuit is a three-turn triangle with long straightaways and little banking in the corners. That requires heavy braking and shifting, making it run similar to a road course.
Denny Hamlin is a six-time winner at Pocono Raceway and the 5-1 favorite in the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Teammate Martin Truex Jr., who captured his third win of the season last week and now leads the 2023 NASCAR standings, is listed at 11-2 in the 2023 NASCAR at Pocono odds. Before scouring the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Pocono predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 Pocono NASCAR picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.
Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.
McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1) as well as his win in New Hampshire (11-2), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021.
All told, the model has nailed a whopping 13 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.
Top 2023 HighPoint 400 predictions
For the 2023 HighPoint.com 400, the model is high on Kevin Harvick, even though he's a 16-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Pocono odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 47-year-old is ninth in the NASCAR standings, making him the highest-ranked driver without a victory so far this season.
However, he'll be eager to get into the win column with 11 different playoff-eligible winners this year to avoid the squeeze when the NASCAR Playoffs begin in September. The 60-time NASCAR Cup Series winner took the checkered flag at the 2020 Pocono Organics 325 and is coming off a fourth-place finish in which he led 10 laps in New Hampshire last week. See who else to back at SportsLine.
And a massive shocker: Hamlin, the Vegas favorite at 5-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 HighPoint.com 400 starting lineup. Hamlin's six wins at Pocono are tied with Jeff Gordon for the most in NASCAR history, which has a heavy influence over his status as the race favorite.
It looked like he had added a seventh win last season to take the record for himself but Hamlin was disqualified after a post-race inspection revealed extra material on the front fascia of his car. Hamlin also finished 14th in his previous start at Pocono and has finished outside the top 10 in three of his last five races entering this week. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.
How to make 2023 NASCAR at Pocono picks
The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 NASCAR at Pocono odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.
2023 HighPoint 400 odds, drivers, lineup
Denny Hamlin 5-1Martin Truex Jr. 11-2Kyle Busch 6-1Kyle Larson 7-1William Byron 17-2Ross Chastain 19-2Christopher Bell 11-1Chase Elliott 12-1Ryan Blaney 12-1Tyler Reddick 12-1Joey Logano 16-1Kevin Harvick 16-1Brad Keselowski 30-1Daniel Suarez 30-1Bubba Wallace 30-1Ty Gibbs 35-1Alex Bowman 40-1Chris Buescher 65-1Austin Dillon 75-1A.J. Allmendinger 100-1Aric Almirola 100-1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 150-1Erik Jones 150-1Ryan Preece 200-1Justin Haley 250-1Chase Briscoe 300-1Austin Cindric 300-1Michael McDowell 300-1Corey Lajoie 750-1Harrison Burton 1000-1Todd Gilliland 2000-1Cole Custer 2000-1Noah Gragson 2500-1JJ Yeley 5000-1Ty Dillon 5000-1
