2023 AdventHealth 400 odds, picks: Projected NASCAR leaderboard, predictions for Kansas from proven model

The NASCAR Cup Series will shift to Kansas Speedway for Sunday's 2023 AdventHealth 400 at 3 p.m. ET. Martin Truex Jr. won his first race in nearly two years last week and will try to make it back-to-back wins at Kansas. Truex is 8-1 in the 2023 NASCAR at Kansas odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while Kyle Larson is the 9-2 favorite. Denny Hamlin (6-1), William Byron (6-1) and Tyler Reddick (7-1) are all 2023 AdventHealth 400 contenders as well.

Our proven projection model has simulated the race 10,000 times and came up with a surprising leaderboard.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model takes into account a slew of factors including track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), and Kyle Larson's win at Martinsville (6-1). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 10 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw HUGE returns.  

Now, the model has dialed in on the AdventHealth 400 2023 and released its projections. 

We can tell you the model is high on Kyle Busch, even though he's a 14-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Kansas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a HUGE payday. And a massive shocker: Tyler Reddick, one of the top Vegas favorites at 7-1, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10! There are far better values in the 2023 AdventHealth 400 starting lineup.

The model is also targeting two other driverswith 2023 NASCAR at Kansas odds of 14-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag!Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it BIG. You ABSOLUTELY need to see who they are before locking in any NASCAR picks.