2023 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds, predictions, lineup, start time: Model makes surprising Crayon 301 picks

The 2023 NASCAR Cup Series season continues on Sunday with the 2023 Crayon 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway. The 2023 NASCAR at New Hampshire green flag is scheduled to drop at 2:30 p.m. ET. After four straight wins for Ford in the Granite State, Christopher Bell got Toyota and Joe Gibbs Racing back to victory lane at "The Magic Mile" last season. Bell is fourth in the NASCAR standings and the 5-1 favorite in the 2023 Crayon 301 odds from Caesars Sportsbook. 

His Joe Gibbs teammates Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin are next in the 2023 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds at 13-2. Kyle Larson is 8-1 and Hendrick Motorsports teammate William Byron is 12-1 and fresh off his fourth win of the season last week in Atlanta. Before scouring the 2023 Crayon 301 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at New Hampshire predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 Crayon 301 picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1), Denny Hamlin's triumph in Kansas (6-1) and Kyle Larson's wins at Martinsville (6-1) and the NASCAR All-Star Race (13-2). In Austin, it listed Tyler Reddick as one of its best values and he went on to win for a 10-1 payout. It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. 

All told, the model has nailed a whopping 12 winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Top 2023 Crayon 301 predictions

For the 2023 Crayon 301, the model is high on Ryan Blaney, even though he's a 15-1 longshot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The 29-year-old is already in line for his seventh consecutive appearance in the NASCAR playoffs after capturing his eighth career Cup victory earlier this season in Charlotte.

Blaney enters Sunday's Crayon 301 2023 sitting seventh in the NASCAR standings and ended a streak of three consecutive finishes of 30th or worse with a ninth last week in Atlanta. Blaney led 20 laps in that race has led laps in two of the last three races in Loudon. He's had four top-nine finishes in his last six starts at New Hampshire. See who else to back at SportsLine.

And a massive shocker: Denny Hamlin, one of the Vegas favorites at 13-2, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 Crayon 301 starting lineup. Hamlin is a 49-time Cup winner, but is still chasing his first career championship and enters Sunday's New Hampshire NASCAR race sitting sixth in the standings.

However, Hamlin has been outside the top 10 in five of his last seven starts and failed to lead a lap in his last two races despite starting on the pole in the Chicago Street Race. Hamlin has also led only one lap in his last two starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, a major reason why the model isn't buying into his status as the second favorite. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 NASCAR at New Hampshire picks

The model is also targeting five other drivers with double-digit 2023 NASCAR at New Hampshire odds to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

2023 Crayon 301 odds, drivers, lineup

Christopher Bell 5-1Denny Hamlin 13-2Martin Truex Jr. 13-2Kyle Larson 8-1Kyle Busch 10-1Kevin Harvick 10-1Chase Elliott 12-1William Byron 12-1Ryan Blaney 15-1Joey Logano 15-1Ross Chastain 15-1Tyler Reddick 15-1Aric Almirola 20-1Brad Keselowski 20-1Bubba Wallace 30-1Alex Bowman 35-1Daniel Suarez 40-1Ty Gibbs 45-1Ryan Preece 50-1Chase Briscoe 65-1Chris Buescher 65-1A.J. Allmendinger 100-1Erik Jones 125-1Austin Dillon 125-1Austin Cindric 150-1Justin Haley 250-1Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 250-1Michael McDowell 300-1Cole Custer 500-1Harrison Burton 500-1Corey Lajoie 500-1Noah Gragson 750-1Todd Gilliland 750-1Ryan Newman 1500-1Ty Dillon 2500-1