2023 Valero Texas Open picks, bets, predictions, field: Golf expert fading Tyrrell Hatton at TPC San Antonio

The last chance to qualify for next week's Masters comes at the 2023 Valero Texas Open, starting on Thursday. The tournament concludes the PGA Tour's two-week Texas swing with play teeing off from the Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio. Any golfer who wins the Valero Texas Open 2023 will automatically qualify for the Masters, creating lots of motivation amongst the field. Eight of the top 50 players in the World Rankings are competing this week, including Tyrrell Hatton (No. 17), Hideki Matsuyama (No. 21), Sepp Straka (No. 32) and Chris Kirk (No. 34).

It is Hatton who is the 13-1 favorite in the latest 2023 Valero Texas Open odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and he's already qualified for Augusta. Corey Conners, who won this event in 2019, is next up at 17-1, while Rickie Fowler (20-1) needs a win to make the Masters field. Before making any 2023 Valero Texas Open picks, be sure you .

Nejad specializes in betting and DFS in golf, among other sports. He's had incredible success in the outright market, first-round leader market and betting head-to-head matchups. In 2022, he hit six first-round leaders in a 12-week span while peppering in tournament outrights throughout the year. In 2023, Sportsline debuted "The Early Wedge," and in the first three months of the show, he has hit two FRLs and three outright winners. Nejad also had a winning head-to-head record in eight of 10 weeks (including full tournament sweeps on head-to-head plays). He is up more than 70 units over that three-month span.

Now, Nejad has studied the 2023 Valero Texas Open field and has locked in his best bets, top sleepers and favorites to avoid. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of Nejad's PGA picks and analysis.  

Top 2023 Valero Texas Open expert picks

In a huge surprise, Nejad is fading Hatton, despite him being the favorite and the highest-ranked golfer in the field. Hatton may top the World Rankings among those competing in the 2023 Valero Texas Open, but he's just eighth in FedEx Cup standings amongst the field. The latter focuses more on his 2022-23 season, which has been inconsistent and has as many finishes 40th or worse (three) than finishes in the top 10. Hatton is coming off a 59th-place finish last week in Austin, and his 119th tour ranking in greens in regulation percentage makes him a risky back for this week.

Nejad will also be keeping an eye on Fowler, who has top 25s in five of his last six events. Always a fan favorite, Fowler has seen a resurgence in play as he was ranked 130th at this time a year ago but is now in the top 60. He averages 4.42 birdies per round, which is the 12th-most on tour, and that ranking looks even better when you consider the relatively weak field of the Valero Texas Open 2023. Birdies are paramount for success at this event as the last four winners have averaged 17-under-par, so Fowler's ability to consistently break par should keep him in contention. See who he is backing at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 Valero Texas Open golf picks

Nejad has locked in his best bets for the 2023 Texas Open and has tabbed his longshots, including one who comes in at massive odds of more than 70-1. This golfer can catch fire with his putter, and watered-down fields like this are perfect for finding value in longshot players like him. You can only see the picks at SportsLine.

So which players should you target or avoid for the 2023 Texas Open? And which golfer in the Texas Open 2023 field could bring a monster payday of well over 70-1? Check out the odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Sia Nejad's top prop picks for Texas Open 2023, all from the expert who is locked in on golf betting and DFS, and find out.

2023 Valero Texas Open odds, field, top contenders

Tyrrell Hatton +1300Corey Conners +1700Rickie Fowler +2000Si Woo Kim +2100Hideki Matsuyama +2400Taylor Montgomery +2800Matt Kuchar +2800Chris Kirk +3100Davis Riley +3400J.J. Spaun +3400Matt Wallace +3700Ben Griffin +4100Thomas Detry +4400Cameron Davis +4400Adam Schenk +4800Taylor Pendrith +4800Brendon Todd +4800Alex Noren +4800Aaron Rai +5000Nick Taylor +5000Davis Thompson +5000Andrew Putnam +5000Ryan Fox +5000Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5500Nicolai Hojgaard +5500Sam Ryder +5500Alex Smalley +6500Francesco Molinari +7000Brandon Wu +7500Will Gordon +8500Tyler Duncan +8500Ryan Palmer +8500Luke List +8500Emiliano Grillo +9000Pierceson Coody +9000Erik Van Rooyen +9000Beau Hossler +9000Sepp Straka +9000Austin Eckroat +10000Ben Martin +10000Patton Kizzire +10000S.H. Kim +10000Byeong Hun An +10000Robby Shelton +10000Akshay Bhatia +10000Trey Mullinax +10000Eric Cole +10000Hayden Buckley +10000Harry Hall +10000Nate Lashley +11000Padraig Harrington +11000Sam Stevens +11000Garrick Higgo +11000David Lingmerth +11000Kevin Streelman +12000Patrick Rodgers +12000Mark Hubbard +13000Lanto Griffin +13000Kramer Hickok +13000Nick Hardy +13000Lee Hodges +13000Charley Hoffman +13000Matthew NeSmith +13000Dylan Frittelli +14000Troy Merritt +14000Joseph Bramlett +14000Russell Knox +15000Kevin Chappell +15000Kazuki Higa +15000Lucas Glover +15000Scott Piercy +16000Matthias Schwab +16000Cameron Champ +16000Henrik Norlander +16000Ben Taylor +16000Callum Tarren +16000Chad Ramey +16000Adam Long +16000Greyson Sigg +16000Matthias Schmid +16000Michael Kim +18000Martin Laird +18000MJ Daffue +18000