Baltimore Orioles vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction 6-11-23 MLB Picks

The Kansas City Royals and the Baltimore Orioles meet in MLB action from Camden Yards on Sunday. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Baltimore is a -175 home favorite while the Royals are +150 road underdogs. The total for this game is set at 9 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Carlos Hernandez will start for the Royals here and is 0-3 with a 4.31 ERA and 42 strikeouts this season. Kyle Gibson will start here for Baltimore and is 7-3 with a 3.87 ERA and 54 strikeouts this season. 

Matchup History

Baltimore’s 6-1 win over the Royals on Saturday made it three straight wins for the Orioles and six wins for Baltimore in the last seven head-to-head meetings. 

Trends

Kansas City is 18-47 in their last 65 games overall and 18-51 in their last 69 road games while the under is 9-2 in their last 11 games overall. Baltimore is 11-4 in their last 15 games against the AL Central and 6-1 in their last 7 game three matchups while the under is 11-5-2 in their last 18 home games. 

Pick

I get the case to be made on either side in this game, but I’m on the Orioles here. Kyle Gibson is a pitcher I tabbed for some upcoming regression, but it hasn’t really come to fruition and maybe it’s time for me to admit that Gibson’s got something special going on this season. The Royals are just a team that I’m not really looking to back and I think that the O’s get the job done here. Give me the Orioles.