Mavericks vs. Suns Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

Kevin Durant and the Phoenix Suns (33-22) are 3-point underdogs against Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (32-23) Thursday, February 22, 2024 at American Airlines Center. The game starts at 7:30 PM ET on TNT. The matchup has an over/under of 243 points.

Mavericks vs. Suns Odds

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Who Will Win Mavericks vs. Suns?

Mavericks and Suns Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Mavericks have a 15-11 record against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.

In games they have played as at least 3-point underdogs this year, the Suns are 2-5 against the spread.

These teams average a combined 236.3 points per game, 6.7 fewer points than the total of 243 set for this game.

Dallas and Phoenix have seen its opponents average a combined 11.5 fewer points per game than the point total of 243 set for this matchup.

The average point total in Mavericks games this year is 7.1 fewer points than the total of 243 in this matchup.

Phoenix’s games this season have averaged an over/under of 231.9 points, 11.1 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

Dallas has gone 29-26-0 ATS this season.

The Suns are 23-30-2 against the spread this year.

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks average 118.7 points per game (seventh in the league) while giving up 117.2 per contest (19th in the NBA). They have a +78 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 1.5 points per game.

The Mavericks lose the rebound battle by 3.4 boards on average. They collect 42.2 rebounds per game, which ranks 23rd in the league, while their opponents grab 45.6 per contest.

Dallas hits 2.0 more threes per contest than the opposition, 15.0 (third-most in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.0.

The Mavericks average 118.9 points per 100 possessions on offense (11th in the league), and give up 117.5 points per 100 possessions (18th in the NBA).

The Mavericks have scored at a higher clip when playing at home than on the road in the 2023-24 season (120.4 at home versus 116.6 on the road), though they have given up fewer points at home than in road games (116.5 opponent points per home game versus 118.2 on the road).

Suns Stats & Insights

The Suns are outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game, with a +179 scoring differential overall. They put up 117.6 points per game (12th in NBA) and give up 114.3 per contest (15th in league).

Phoenix averages 43.2 rebounds per game (17th in league) while conceding 41.2 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 2.0 boards per game.

The Suns connect on 11.9 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league), 1.1 fewer than their opponents.

The Suns rank eighth in the NBA with 119.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 15th defensively with 116.1 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Phoenix scores 117.6 points per game at home, and the same number away.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Doncic puts up 34.2 points and 8.8 rebounds per game, with 9.5 assists.

Doncic makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Mavericks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.9 per contest.

Doncic picks up 1.4 takeaways per game, and Daniel Gafford compiles 2.2 rejections per contest.

Suns Key Players to Watch

Durant racks up 28.2 points per game. He also adds 6.6 rebounds per outing and 5.7 assists per contest.

Jusuf Nurkic has per-game averages of 11.8 points, 3.7 assists and 10.2 rebounds this season.

Grayson Allen averages 2.5 made threes per game.

The Suns’ defensive effort gets a boost from Nurkic (1.0 steal per game) and Durant (1.3 blocks per game).

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