New York Mets at Kansas City Royals odds, picks and predictions

The New York Mets (50-56) and Kansas City Royals (33-75) meet Wednesday for the 2nd game of a 3-game series. First pitch from Kauffman Stadium is set for 8:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Mets vs. Royals odds and make our expert MLB picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: Royals lead 1-0

Kansas City took Tuesday’s opener 7-6 as a +130 home underdog. That win came in unorthodox fashion, as Mets reliever LHP Josh Walker committed a balk in the bottom of the 10th inning with the bases loaded to lose the game. Walker’s critical error brought home OF MJ Melendez and completed a 3-run inning for the Royals to walk it off.

New York is now 5-5 in their last 10 games overall and 1-4 in their last 5 road games. The Mets sit at 24-33 on the road on the year. The Royals have now won 4-straight and are 4-0 in their last 4 home games but are just 19-36 at home this season.

Mets at Royals projected starters

RHP Kodai Senga vs. LHP Cole Ragans

Senga (7-5, 3.17 ERA) makes his 20th start. He has a 1.24 WHIP, 4.5 BB/9 and 11.1 K/9 through 105 IP.

• Last outing: No-decision, 6 IP, 1 ER, 2 H, 3 BB, 5 K in 2-1 home win Thursday vs. Washington Nationals
• First career start vs. Kansas City

Ragans (2-3, 5.22 ERA) makes his 2nd start and 19th appearance. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 4.9 BB/9 and 8.3 K/9 through 29 1/3 IP for the Royals and Texas Rangers.

• Last start: No-decision, 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 2 BB, 3 K in 4-2 home loss on July 15 vs. Tampa Bay Rays in his Royals debut
• First career start vs. New York

Mets at Royals odds

BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:52 a.m. ET.

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Mets at Royals picks and predictions

Prediction

Mets 4, Royals 3

PASS. 

I am confident in the Mets (-200) picking up the win here vs. an inferior team despite Tuesday’s loss, but they are far too heavy of a favorite to risk betting on. Bet on the run line and/or O/U instead.

LEAN ROYALS +1.5 (+105).

These teams have been very evenly matched as of late despite the difference in their records. Both teams are 5-5 in their last 10 overall, with the Royals being slightly hotter while riding a 4-game win streak. I expect Kansas City to keep this one close and like that you can get plus money even with a run of insurance.

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LEAN UNDER 9.5 (-115).

The Under is 5-3 in the last 8 Mets-Royals matchups. The Under has cashed in 4 of New York’s last 6 outings and is 5-0 in Senga’s last 5 starts.

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