Nuggets vs. Hawks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Denver Nuggets (14-9) bring a three-game losing streak into a road matchup with the Atlanta Hawks (9-12), losers of three straight as well. The Hawks are underdogs by only 2.5 points in the contest, which tips at 7:30 PM ET (on BSSE) on Monday, December 11, 2023. The matchup has an over/under of 238.5 points.

Nuggets vs. Hawks Odds

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Nuggets and Hawks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets have a 6-12-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 2.5 points or more.

The Hawks have a 1-4 record against the spread in games they were an underdog by 2.5 points or more this year.

The Nuggets and the Hawks combine to average 2.7 fewer points per game than the over/under of 238.5 set for this matchup.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 233.1 points per game, 5.4 fewer than the over/under for this game.

The Nuggets’ average point total in outings this season is 224.2, 14.3 points fewer than the total in this game.

The average point total for Atlanta this year is 6.2 points higher than this game’s over/under.

Denver’s ATS record is 8-14-1 this season.

The Hawks’ ATS record is 5-16-0 this season.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets’ +69 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.0 points per game) is a result of scoring 113.6 points per game (14th in the NBA) while allowing 110.6 per outing (seventh in the league).

The Nuggets win the rebound battle by an average of 1.1 boards. They are grabbing 44.1 rebounds per game (15th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 43.0 per contest.

Denver connects on 11.5 three-pointers per game (23rd in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.0. It shoots 36.4% from deep while its opponents hit 36.3% from long range.

The Nuggets put up 117.3 points per 100 possessions (10th in the league), while allowing 114.2 points per 100 possessions (13th in the NBA).

The Nuggets’ offense has been drastically better when playing at home (120.2 PPG) compared to away games (108.5 PPG). However, their defense has been worse at home (111.1 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (110.2 PPG allowed).

Hawks Stats & Insights

The Hawks have a -5 scoring differential, putting up 122.2 points per game (second in league) and giving up 122.5 (27th in NBA).

Atlanta ranks ninth in the NBA at 45.0 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.3 its opponents average.

The Hawks connect on 13.8 three-pointers per game (eighth-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.5. They shoot 36.9% from deep, and their opponents shoot 37.5%.

The Hawks’ 120.0 points per 100 possessions on offense rank fourth in the NBA, and the 120.2 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 26th in the league.

Atlanta averages 125.3 points per game at home, and 119.9 on the road.

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

The Nuggets get 28.4 points, 13.0 rebounds and 9.6 assists from Nikola Jokic.

The Nuggets get 3.0 three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.6 takeaways per game, and Peyton Watson records 1.0 block per contest.

Hawks Key Players to Watch

Trae Young’s performance this season has resulted in strong scoring and assists numbers, with 26.4 points per game and 10.7 assists per game to go with 2.7 rebounds per contest.

Clint Capela’s per-game averages this season are 11.0 points, 1.0 assist and 10.5 rebounds.

Bogdan Bogdanovic averages 3.1 made threes per game.

The Hawks’ defensive effort gets a lift from Dejounte Murray (1.7 steals per game) and Capela (1.7 blocks per game).

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