Nuggets vs. 76ers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets (50-24) enter their matchup against the Joel Embiid-led Philadelphia 76ers (49-25) on March 27, 2023 as a 5.5-point favorite.

Nuggets vs. 76ers Odds

• Nuggets odds to win: -209
• 76ers odds to win: +175
• Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)

Nuggets vs. 76ers Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Monday, March 27, 2023 at 9:30 PM ET
• Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
• TV: NBA TV, ALT, and NBCS-PH

Who Will Win Nuggets vs. 76ers?

Nuggets and 76ers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Nuggets have a 20-13-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 5.5 points or more.

The 76ers are 1-0 against the spread so far this season when playing as at least 5.5-point underdogs.

Denver has a 40-32-2 record against the spread this season.

The 76ers have a 43-31-0 record against the spread this year.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets’ +307 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.1 points per game) is a result of scoring 116.8 points per game (seventh in the NBA) while giving up 112.7 per outing (11th in the league).

The Nuggets come out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 2.6 boards. They are pulling down 42.8 rebounds per game (19th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 40.2 per contest.

Denver makes 12.1 three-pointers per game (15th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.4 on average.

The Nuggets rank first in the NBA with 117.5 points scored per 100 possessions, and 19th in the league defensively with 113.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.

During the 2022-23 season, the Nuggets are scoring eight more points per home game on average than on the road (120.8 at home, 112.8 on the road), but are allowing 5.3 fewer points per home game compared to road games (110 at home, 115.3 on the road).

76ers Stats & Insights

The 76ers’ +349 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.7 points per game) is a result of putting up 115.2 points per game (14th in NBA) while allowing 110.5 per outing (third in league).

The 40.9 rebounds per game Philadelphia accumulates rank 26th in the league. Their opponents collect 41.2.

The 76ers knock down 12.7 three-pointers per game (ninth-most in the league) at a 38.8% rate (second-best in NBA), compared to the 11.5 per game their opponents make, at a 34.6% rate.

The 76ers average 115.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (fourth in league), and allow 109.7 points per 100 possessions (sixth in NBA).

At home Philadelphia is scoring 114.7 points per game, one fewer points than it is averaging on the road (115.7).

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Jokic accumulates 24.9 points and 11.8 rebounds and 9.9 assists per game.

Michael Porter Jr. leads active Nuggets in three-point shooting, making an average of three shots per game from beyond the arc.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope picks pockets to the tune of 1.5 takeaways per game, and Aaron Gordon records 0.7 rejections per contest.

76ers Key Players to Watch

Embiid has the top 76ers spot in two categories among active players: scoring (33.3 points per game) and rebounding (10.2 rebounds per game). He also has 4.2 assists per contest.

James Harden’s per-game averages this season are 21.4 points, 10.8 assists and 6.3 rebounds.

De’Anthony Melton averages 2.1 made threes per game.

Melton’s 1.7 steals and Embiid’s 1.7 blocks per game are important to the 76ers’ defensive effort.

• Pick ATS: 76ers (+ 5.5)
• Prediction:
  Nuggets 115 – 76ers 113