Nuggets vs. Knicks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets
The Denver Nuggets (31-14) bring a three-game win streak into a road matchup with the New York Knicks (27-17), who have won four straight. The Knicks are underdogs by just 2.5 points in the contest, which tips at 7:30 PM ET (on MSG) on Thursday, January 25, 2024. The matchup has an over/under of 224.5.
Nuggets vs. Knicks Odds
How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Knicks
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Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Knicks?
Nuggets and Knicks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
When they have played as at least 2.5-point favorites this season, the Nuggets are 16-20-2 against the spread.
In games this year in which they were an underdog by 2.5 points or more, the Knicks have a 4-8-2 record against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 6.4 more points per game, 230.9, than this matchup’s over/under of 224.5 points.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.2 fewer points per game (221.3) than this game’s total of 224.5 points.
The average over/under the Nuggets have had set in games this season is 2.3 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for New York this season is 0.9 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Denver is 19-24-2 ATS this season.
The Knicks’ ATS record is 24-18-2 this season.
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets have a +224 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.0 points per game. They’re putting up 115.9 points per game to rank 14th in the league and are allowing 110.9 per outing to rank sixth in the NBA.
The Nuggets win the rebound battle by 2.3 boards on average. They record 44.0 rebounds per game, which ranks 11th in the league, while their opponents grab 41.7 per contest.
Denver makes 11.7 three-pointers per game (27th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.3 on average.
The Nuggets rank seventh in the league by averaging 120.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 12th in the NBA, allowing 115.1 points per 100 possessions.
The Nuggets’ offense has been drastically better in home games (120.6 PPG) compared to away games (111.8 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better when playing at home (110.6 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (111.1 PPG allowed).
Knicks Stats & Insights
The Knicks put up 115.0 points per game (16th in league) while giving up 110.4 per contest (third in NBA). They have a +202 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 4.6 points per game.
New York averages 46.2 rebounds per game (third in league) while conceding 40.5 per contest to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 5.7 boards per game.
The Knicks make 13.2 three-pointers per game (11th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 12.8. They shoot 37.2% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36.3%.
The Knicks’ 118.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 10th in the NBA, and the 114.1 points they concede per 100 possessions rank eighth in the league.
New York is putting up fewer points at home (113.8 per game) than on the road (115.9).
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
Nikola Jokic accumulates 26.2 points and 12.0 rebounds and 9.1 assists per game.
Michael Porter Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.8 per contest.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope picks up 1.5 takeaways per game, and Jokic records 0.9 rejections per contest.
Knicks Key Players to Watch
The Knicks go-to guy, Jalen Brunson, leads active Knicks players in both scoring (26.7 points per game) and assists (6.5 assists per game).
Julius Randle’s per-game averages this season are 23.8 points, 5.0 assists and 9.3 rebounds.
Brunson knocks down 2.9 threes per game.
The Knicks’ defensive efforts get a lift from Donte DiVincenzo’s 1.1 steals and OG Anunoby’s 1.3 blocks per game.
Over (224.5)
Knicks 114 – Nuggets 112
