Nuggets vs. Pacers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets

The Indiana Pacers (23-15) are heavy, 10.5-point underdogs as they try to continue a three-game win streak when they visit the Denver Nuggets (27-13) on Sunday, January 14, 2024 at Ball Arena. The matchup airs at 3:30 PM ET on ALT. The matchup’s over/under is 238.5.

Nuggets vs. Pacers Odds

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Nuggets and Pacers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When they have played as at least 10.5-point favorites this season, the Nuggets are 3-1 against the spread.

The Pacers have not yet covered the spread as underdogs of 10.5 points or more this season (0-2).

These teams average 242.8 points per game combined, 4.3 more than the over/under of 238.5.

Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 234.5 points per game, 4.0 fewer than the over/under for this game.

The average point total for Nuggets games this season is 11.3 fewer points than the total of 238.5 in this matchup.

The average total in Indiana’s games this season is 11.5 more points than the point total of 238.5 in this outing.

Denver has gone 18-21-1 ATS this season.

The Pacers are 22-15-1 against the spread this season.

Nuggets Stats & Insights

The Nuggets average 116.2 points per game (12th in the league) while allowing 111.1 per outing (third in the NBA). They have a +205 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 5.1 points per game.

The Nuggets win the rebound battle by an average of 1.6 boards. They are grabbing 43.9 rebounds per game (13th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 42.3 per outing.

Denver knocks down 11.9 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.5. It shoots 37.6% from deep while its opponents hit 36.4% from long range.

The Nuggets rank eighth in the NBA with 120.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 11th in the league defensively with 114.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.

During the 2023-24 season, the Nuggets are scoring 9.2 more points per home game on average than on the road (120.8 at home, 111.6 on the road), but are allowing 0.7 fewer points per home game compared to road games (110.7 at home, 111.4 on the road).

Pacers Stats & Insights

The Pacers are outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game, with a +121 scoring differential overall. They put up 126.6 points per game (first in NBA) and allow 123.4 per contest (28th in league).

Indiana pulls down 40.8 rebounds per game (29th in league) while allowing 42.8 per contest to opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.0 boards per game.

The Pacers hit 14.4 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) while shooting 38.5% from beyond the arc (third-best in NBA). They are making 3.5 more threes than their opponents, who drain 10.9 per game at 37.6%.

The Pacers rank first in the NBA with 123.6 points scored per 100 possessions, and 26th defensively with 120.5 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home Indiana is putting up 127.6 points per game, 2.2 more than it is averaging on the road (125.4).

Nuggets Key Players to Watch

Nikola Jokic puts up 25.5 points and 11.7 rebounds per game, with 9.3 assists.

The Nuggets get 2.7 three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Jokic swats 0.9 shots per contest.

Pacers Key Players to Watch

Myles Turner holds the top Pacers spot in two categories among active players: scoring (17.2 points per game) and rebounding (7.3 rebounds per game). He also has 1.3 assists per contest.

T.J. McConnell’s per-game averages this season are 8.1 points, 5.6 assists and 2.8 rebounds.

Buddy Hield knocks down 2.8 threes per game.

The Pacers’ defensive efforts get a lift from Aaron Nesmith (1.2 steals per game) and Turner (2.0 blocks per game).

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