Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Spread, Line, Odds, Predictions, Picks and Betting Preview

Phillies @ Braves – First Pitch: 7:20 p.m.

Expected Forecast: Clear Sky, 73°

It’s time for some serious National League East action as the Philadelphia Phillies square off against the Atlanta Braves. Despite the Braves (-153) being favorites on their home turf, I’m going to let you in on a little secret: The Phillies could very well have this one in the bag.

The pitching matchup today sees Jared Shuster of the Braves up against the Phillies’ Taijuan Walker. No contest there – Shuster’s arguably one of the most underwhelming pitchers this season. With only 40 batters faced over the last 30 days, his 30% ground ball rate doesn’t inspire much confidence. That means 70% of contact off him results in line drives or fly balls – hardly the recipe for a winning pitcher.

The Phillies need to capitalize on Shuster’s weaknesses. But their record over the past 30 days against left-handed pitching? Not exactly awe-inspiring. Trea Turner’s .275 wOBA, Bryce Harper’s .184, NickCastellanos’ .226, KyleSchwarber’s .273, JT Realmuto’s .269, and EdmundoSosa’s .259 are a few of the figures that could use some improvement.

Over in the Braves’ corner, we’ve got Walker on the mound. Against lefties, Walker has been taking a beating with a wOBA of .399 and an ISO power number of .278. Could this be the chink in the Phillies’ armor that the Braves need to exploit?

There’s one Brave, in particular, who could turn the tide – Matt Olson. With a .309 ISO power number and a wOBA of .386 against right-handed pitching in the last 30 days, Olson is definitely the lefty to watch out for tonight. EddieRosario and MichaelHarris, the other lefties in the lineup, haven’t been as effective. With OzzieAlbies’ .072 ISO power number and a wOBA of .212, it’s clear he’s been struggling at the plate against righties.

As we wait for the first pitch, I’m inclined to give the edge to the Phillies (+131). Their bats should come alive against Shuster, and while their record against left-handed pitching hasn’t been stellar, facing Schuster might just be the wake-up call they need. Meanwhile, if you’re betting on someone to steal the show tonight, from a prop perspective, my money’s on Olson.

Spread, Total, Moneyline, and Odds:

Projected Lineups:

Phillies

Starting Pitcher: Taijuan Walker: 3-2, 5.79 ERA, 8.10 K/9

Braves

Starting Pitcher: Jared Shuster: 1-2, 5.49 ERA, 6.86 K/9

Betting Insights:

Phillies

• The over hit in 3 of the Philadelphia Phillies last 5 games on the road in 2023

Braves

• The over hit in 18 of the Atlanta Braves last 26 games at home in 2023

Stay ahead of the game and elevate your sports betting experience with SportsGridandSportsGrid’s Daily Newsletter. Whether a casual fan or a seasoned bettor, this app is your ticket to informed betting.