Red Sox vs. Yankees Picks, Predictions & Odds

The rival Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees will be under the Sunday Night Baseball spotlight while playing the rubber match of their three-game series. Let's dive into the matchup with our Red Sox-Yankees pick based on the top MLB odds from our best sports betting apps.

The Red Sox have been doing a whole lot of scuffling lately while winning just seven of their last 20 games. That beeline to the bottom of the AL East has left them with a 32-33 record as the only club below .500 in that battle-dome division.

However, one Red Sox hitter is more than doing his part to stop the slide and keep the team afloat.

Here is our best Red Sox-Yankees prediction (odds via our best MLB betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Red Sox vs. Yankees pick

Alex Verdugo Over 1.5 total bases (+125 via DraftKings ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Alex Verdugo has been a shining light amid the recent darkness in Boston.

His production has dipped somewhat in June, but he's still logged multiple hits in three of his nine games during the month, including two three-knock outings. The 27-year-old's June highlight is a contest with two doubles and a triple against the imposing Tampa Bay Rays not long ago on June 4.

That comes after a sizzling April when he hit .308, and a still strong May with a .425 slugging percentage. Overall his OPS sits at .806, notably higher than his .732 in 2022 and .777 in 2021.

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And now a left-handed hitter who regularly rakes against righties will be gifted an opportunity to tee off on Clarke Schmidt.

The Yankees starter has been a sore spot over his 13 appearances while posting a 4.96 ERA and generally serving as a launchpad. Schmidt has been dodging plenty of lasers hit back in his direction due to his average exit velocity allowed of 91.6 mph, which ranks in the bottom 8% of the league, according to Baseball Savant. Consequently, his hard-hit percentage sits in just the 16th percentile.

He's been particularly vulnerable against lefties while allowing a whopping .322 batting average and .945 OPS. Verdugo, meanwhile, has clubbed all five of his home runs against righties, leading to sterling .305/.368/.503 slash line when facing pitchers who throw from that side.

The matchup is appealing, and so is the price. Ballpark Pal has given Verdugo +118 odds to finish with Over 1.5 bases, but DraftKings is offering him at +125. The gap is slight but still favorable, and it serves as further motivation to hop on Verdugo ahead of this Sunday night divisional clash.

Red Sox vs. Yankees best odds

DraftKings (+125)

Four of our best sports betting sites offer this market, with DraftKings featuring the top value at +125. BetMGM isn't far behind, but stay well away from FanDuel and Caesars.

However, if you're feeling confident and/or frisky due to Verdugo's outlook for Sunday, as always FanDuel provides the opportunity to add more bases to the play. He's currently listed at +270 to record three-plus total bases.

Red Sox vs. Yankees odds

Red Sox vs. Yankees odds analysis

The Yankees opened as the -130 favorite at our best sportsbooks. Their price shifted to -120 before settling generally around -125. However, PointsBet and BetMGM are currently still sitting at -120, making those books the best destinations for Yankees backers. Those who believe in the underdog Red Sox should head to DraftKings for its +105 odds.

Meanwhile, the total opened at 8.5 before briefly moving to 9, and then mostly falling back to 8.5. If you think there will be plenty of scoring in a game featuring two struggling hurlers in Schmidt and Brayan Bello, head to PointsBet for its marginally better -110 odds on the Over. The Under is at -105 nearly across the board.

Red Sox vs. Yankees game info

• Date: Sunday, June 11, 7:10 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN
• Location: Yankee Stadium, NY
• Weather: 77 degrees, 20% chance of precipitation, 15-mph south easterly winds

Red Sox-Yankees pick made 6/11/2023 at 12:35 p.m. ET.

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