Reds vs. Blue Jays picks and odds: Ride Toronto’s wave of low-scoring games

The Toronto Blue Jays are going for a series sweep against the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday afternoon. The Reds are starting a pitcher who's making his MLB debut.

Reds and Blue Jays are playing a six-game home swing. Ex-Blue Jay Connor Overton was supposed to start for the Reds, but he was scratched with a sore back. Graham Ashcraft will start in his place. Toronto has already won both series during the tour.

Reds and Blue Jays are playing low-scoring games. Reds are under 8.5 runs (-103), Blue Jay's are over 1.0 runs (115), and they're under 0. 5 runs in the first inning (110).

The under is profitable for betting on Blue Jays. Cincinnati has hit the under six times in its eight games on the road. The under has been successful 7-0-1 for Toronto.

Both sides have put together impressive starting pitching of late. Seven of their past eight starters have thrown at least six innings. Ashcraft has no prior experience against the Blue Jays.

The Reds rank 27th in runs per game, while the Blue Jays are 24th.

Reds are the underdogs at home against Blue Jays. Toronto has won four of the last five games. Yusei Kikuchi is on a tear this month.

The bet is to start a game with no runs in the first inning. The Blue Jays and Reds have played to a scoreless first frame in five of their past six games.