Saturday Horse Racing Betting Tips, Prediction, Odds: Newbury, Cartmel, Newmarket, Doncaster
Saturday Horse Racing Betting Tips
2:25 Newbury Tips
Euchen Glen – 0.5pt Each Way – 20/1 (William Hill, 5 places)
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First up, we have Euchen Glen over at Newbury. I put him up last time in the Old Newton Cup. On the finishing position, it looks like a very poor performance but the race was not run to suit at all. They ran the race at an absolute crawl and then sprinted for home, which could not be any less ideal, especially with him held up in last. I’m happy to forgive that run.
At the age of 10, I think he might actually want this staying trip and he has already produced some decent enough form over 2m. Last year, he ran twice over 2m finishing 6 and 4 but that was in a Group 3 and a Class 1 Listed race respectively. He achieved RPRs of 105 and 102 in those races, he was just outclassed by the level of opposition and he was running off hefty marks of 110 and 107.
Now tackling this trip, in calmer waters and off a reduced mark of 98, I think he could have a very good chance here and 22/1 massively underestimates him. The track also tends to advantage those drawn higher and he is drawn 11 of 15 today. Whilst 22/1 is available with Bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power, I’m going to take the 20/1 with William Hill to get 5 places instead of 4.
3:05 Newmarket Tips
Mokaatil – 0.5pt Each Way – 11/1 (William Hill, 3 places)
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The second selection today is Mokaatil. This horse had a lot of class back in his prime, peaking at a rating of 102 back in 2018. He is not the force of old but he still retains plenty of ability. He won last year off a 3lb higher mark (85, RPR of 92) and ran respectably in the Epsom Dash that he loves two runs back. He ran better than the Epsom effort at Nottingham last time and I think 6f may well be his trip at this age.
That was a 0-95 at Nottingham and the front two ran to RPRs of 104 and 105, clocking the best comparative time on the card, so I think that form will work out well. The winner ran just as well to finish 3 in the Wokingham at Royal Ascot next time out.
Mokaatil now drops into a Class 4 handicap here for horses rated 0-80. He has not been seen in this Class since 2020 and I think he could easily be too classy for them here.
4:00 Cartmel Tips
Ensel Du Perche – 0.5pt Each Way – 7/1 (4 places)
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For the third selection, we switch over to the jumps racing at Cartmel (if it goes ahead!).
Ensel Du Perche surprised me last time as I had him down as a horse that would want cut in the ground and he saw them all off from the front to achieve a RPR of 83. That was off a mark of 74 and he has only been raised 4lb to 78 for that.
Cartmel can suit front runners but it will be interesting to see how this race develops as quite a few of these like to go forward. If they go too fast, it may well pay to be on the one with 10st 6lb on his back, rather than those carrying hefty weights, especially on the Heavy ground that hey will be facing today.
It is a slight concern that he only ran a fortnight ago, as jumps horses will often want 3-4 weeks between their races but t was over 2m on good ground rather than a slog over staying trips, so if connections are happy to run him, I’m happy to back him.
6:15 Doncaster Tips
Stone of Destiny – 1pt Win – 4/1 (General)
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The final selection today is Stone Of Destiny over at Doncaster. Whilst this horse is 8 now, it is such a shame to see how he has regressed over the past 12 months. We backed him at Glorious Goodwood last year and he was repeatedly denied a run and if it was not for that, he almost certainly would have won. He was given a RPR of 94 that day and you would have been sure he would have gone on to win after that. However, 13 runs later, he still has not won and his mark has tumbled from 87 to 70, albeit he has shown glimmers of hope on occasions.
He ran to RPRs of 90 and 85 in December last year and he has hit a RPR of 78 on two occasions this year. I have steered clear of him as he has sadly looks regressive but at some point, you have to think they have fallen enough and he showed me plenty of promise last time. Running off a mark of 70, he had a horrible draw in last time at Doncaster and despite having to race alone for a lot of the race, he ran on well to finish 4, achieving a RPR of 75.
Given how he raced alone from the poor draw, I think you can mark that run up. The handicapper has left his mark alone at 70. That run was also off a 2-month break, so perhaps he will be stripping fitter for the run. We know he handles the track as the good fourth last time was here and he also won here back in 2020. Hopefully this horse can back up that last run and end his drought here in a weak enough looking 0-70.
