Tigers vs. Padres: Odds, picks and predictions 7/23/23

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Apparently, a familiar pillow and home cooking have not been good for the Detroit Tigers. After going 5-2 on a western road trip to open the second half of the season, the Tigers have lost two in a row in Motown.

The San Diego Padres are a very good team, so it figures they may roll into the home of Veror’s Soda and pop the Tigers off. But, the Detroit baseball team needs to win series, nearly every single one the rest of the way, to get into a position to challenge for first in the division.

On Sunday, Detroit will face a Cy Young Award candidate as they fight to avoid a sweep in their own backyard. The long odds from the best Michigan Sportsbooks provide chance for your baseball betting if you think the Tigers can snatch a victory on Sunday afternoon.

Game details

  • Who: Detroit Tigers vs. San Diego Padres
  • When: Sunday, July 23
  • Time: 12:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Comerica Park (Detroit, MI)

MLB odds

  • Moneyline: Tigers +196, Padres -240
  • Runline: Tigers +1.5 (+118), Padres -1.5 (-140)
  • Total: Over/Under 8.5 Runs (+100, -120)

Odds above and in this article are from Caesars Sportsbook. Receive Up to $1,250+ 1,000 Reward Credits from Caesars when you register a new sports betting account in Michigan. Use our exclusive promo code: SLMLIVEFULL.

Alex Faedo (1-4, 6.98 ERA, 28 K in 29.2 IP) vs Joe Musgrove (9-2, 3.16 ERA, 86 K in 85.1 IP)

The Tigers lineup will face the hottest pitcher in the National League: Joe Musgrove has a streak of seven straight quality starts. He’s made 10 consecutive starts where he’s allowed three earned runs or less. Musgrove has won eight straight decisions dating back to May 26.

Detroit does not match up well against Musgrove, who has a messy fastball that moves late and in-and-out. Batters have managed just four extra-base hits against Musgrove’s four-seamer. He also has six pitches he can use, which means he has options if his primary pitches are rusty. But over the last two months, “Moose” has been in complete control of his menu of pitches.

Should Faedo stumble on Sunday, his place in the Detroit rotation could be handed to someone else. The righthander may be tiring. He’s now thrown more pitches and innings this season than he has in any one season since 2019.

  • San Diego is 12-5 Against The Spread (ATS) in its last 17 games.
  • 5 of the last 7 games between Detroit and San Diego have gone OVER.
  • Overall in 2023 in MLB, the home team has won 52.5% of its games.
  • Home underdogs have won 40.7% of their games in 2023.
  • The home underdog has won 53.7% ATS in MLB in 2023.

Riley Greene Over 0.5 Total RBIs (+225)

When a team is struggling to score like Detroit, often the best hitter steps up and exerts his talent. Greene is the best hitter on the ‘23 Tigers, and if he drives in at least one run, a $20 winning bet on this Bet of the Day would garner you $75, including your stake.

Sunday’s game leans too heavily in San Diego’s favor for us to suggest a wager on the outcome. So we have a long odds four-leg parlay for you, Tigers fans.

Odds for this same-game parlay are +10000. A winning $10 bet would pay out $1,000 from Caesars.

  • Player To Hit A Home Run: Manny Machado
  • Joe Musgrove Total Pitching Strikeouts Over 6.5
  • Juan Soto Total Doubles Over 0.5
  • Andy Ibanez Total Doubles Over 0.5

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