Week 4 NFL picks, odds, 2023 best bets from advanced model: This 5-way football parlay pays 25-1
The Denver Broncos and Chicago Bears will seek their first win of the season when they meet on Sunday during the Week 4 NFL schedule. Denver is coming off a historic blowout loss to Miami, while Chicago lost to Kansas City by 31 points its last time out. The Broncos are three-point favorites in the latest Week 4 NFL odds from SportsLine Consensus. With both teams struggling to compete so far this season, should you avoid that game entirely with your Week 4 NFL parlays?
Meanwhile, AFC North rivals Baltimore and Cleveland will meet in a critical game on Sunday. The Browns are 2.5-point favorites in the Week 4 NFL lines, but should they factor into your Week 4 NFL bets? Before you make any Week 4 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 167-117 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 21-9 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 4. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 4 NFL picks at SportsLine.
Top Week 4 NFL picks
After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Buffalo Bills (-2.5) to cover at home against the Miami Dolphins. Miami is coming off a 70-20 win over Denver, scoring the most points in a game by an NFL team since 1966. The Dolphins have covered the spread six straight times dating back to last season and lead the league in yards per game (550.3).
This will be a major hurdle to overcome, though, as Buffalo has been dominant against Miami in the recent head-to-head series. The Bills have won seven straight home games and nine of the last 10 meetings overall between these teams. They are coming off a blowout win of their own, cruising to a 37-3 win at Washington last week.
Buffalo ranks second in the NFL in points per game (30.3), while its defense also ranks second in points allowed per game (11.7). Miami is having to deal with the attention that comes with scoring 70 points in a game, and it is also traveling to a stadium where it has not had any recent success. SportsLine's model expects Miami's struggles in Buffalo to continue on Sunday, as the Bills are covering the spread in almost 60% of simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.
How to make Week 4 NFL parlays
The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including an underdog that wins outright. You can only see the model's NFL Week 4 best bets and parlay at SportsLine.
What are the model's top Week 4 NFL picks? And which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 4 NFL best bets from a model on a 167-117 run on top-rated picks, and find out.
