2024 Valspar Championship odds, field: Surprising PGA picks, predictions by model that's called 10 majors
The 2024 Valspar Championship is set to get underway on Thursday, March 21, and a number of players will enter this week's event confident they can secure the victory. Sam Burns has won this tournament twice in the last three years and he's finished T-10 or better in four of his last six starts on the PGA Tour. Burns enters the Valspar Championship 2024 as one of the best putters on tour, ranking 12th in putting average (1.704), 14th in one-putt percentage (43.24%) and 18th in strokes gained: putting (.568).
Meanwhile, Jordan Spieth, a 13-time PGA Tour champion, can add to his impressive resume with a victory at the 2024 Valspar Championship. Spieth won this event in 2015 and he's recorded two top-10 finishes this season. The latest 2024 Valspar Championship odds list Xander Schauffele as the 8-1 favorite, with Burns (11-1), Spieth (12-1) and Justin Thomas (12-1) next in line. Before locking in your 2024 Valspar Championship picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $9,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Scottie Scheffler would finish on top of the leaderboard at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players Championship this season. McClure also included Hideki Matsuyama in his best bets to win the 2024 Genesis Invitational. That bet hit at +9000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,000.
The model also predicted Jon Rahm would be victorious at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. At the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, McClure's best bets included Nick Taylor (70-1) winning the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic. This same model has also nailed a whopping 10 majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2024 Valspar Championship field is set, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
Top 2024 Valspar Championship predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the Valspar Championship 2024: Xander Schauffele, a seven-time PGA Tour champion and the odds-on favorite, fails to finish on top of the leaderboard. Schauffele is coming off an impressive T-2 finish at The Players Championship last week. He's now finished T-9 or better in four of his last six starts on the PGA Tour.
However, Schauffele hasn't been victorious at a PGA Tour event since winning the 2022 Genesis Scottish Open. He's also struggled with accuracy off the tee this season, ranking 100th on tour in driving accuracy (58.59%). The Copperhead Course at Innisbrook puts a premium on positioning off the tee, which doesn't bode well for Schauffele's chances to finish on top of the leaderboard.
Another surprise: Brian Harman, a 28-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
Harman doesn't explode off the tee quite as much as some of the other top contenders, but he's extremely effective with a putter in his hands. In fact, the 37-year-old enters this week's event ranked seventh in putting average (1.698), ninth in putts per round (28.00), and 19th in one-putt percentage (42.80%). He's also finished T-12 or better in each of his last two starts, which includes a T-2 finish at The Players Championship. Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make Harman a strong play for your 2024 Valspar Championship bets. See who else to pick here.
How to make 2024 Valspar Championship picks
The model is also targeting three other golfers with odds of 25-1 or longer to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.
Who will win the 2024 Valspar Championship, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the Valspar Championship 2024 odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected Valspar Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed 10 golf majors, including last year's Masters and Open Championship.
2024 Valspar Championship odds, field
Xander Schauffele +800Sam Burns +1100Justin Thomas +1200Jordan Spieth +1200Tony Finau +2200Cameron Young +2200Sungjae Im +2500Brian Harman +2800Min Woo Lee +3300Nick Taylor +3500Eric Cole +4000Keegan Bradley +4000Keith Mitchell +4000Beau Hossler +4500Christiaan Bezuidenhout +5500Adam Hadwin +5500Thorbjørn Olesen +6000Aaron Rai +6000Patrick Rodgers +6500Sepp Straka +6500Billy Horschel +7000Doug Ghim +7000Ryan Fox +7500Maverick McNealy +7500Taylor Montgomery +7500Brendon Todd +8000Andrew Putnam +8000Davis Thompson +9000Daniel Berger +9000Taylor Moore +9000Sam Ryder +10000Adam Schenk +10000Lucas Glover +10000Akshay Bhatia +10000Kevin Yu +11000Taylor Pendrith +11000Ryo Hisatsune +11000Ben Griffin +11000Chesson Hadley +11000Adam Svensson +12000Victor Perez +12000Thomas Detry +12000Joel Dahmen +12000Webb Simpson +12000Ben Silverman +15000Matt Wallace +15000Robert MacIntyre +15000Seamus Power +15000Jimmy Stanger +15000Matt Kuchar +15000K.H. Lee +15000Bud Cauley +15000Garrick Higgo +15000
